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The last 24 hours were driven by a combination of geopolitics, inflation pressure, and mixed earnings.
Here's my latest read on the markets, covered in the Daily Market Breakdown:
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I was wrong about the cooldown needing to be a price correction.
After the rally we've seen over the last couple of weeks, it’s more likely playing out through volatility, with swings in both directions over the next few days to flush everyone before a larger move higher.
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$SNOW is a buy at these levels. Reclaimed the lost high-timeframe support range, and is now backtesting it.
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$BTC just broke above the main resistance level we've been highlighting for the past weeks.
Here's what that means going forward, covered in my latest Daily Market Breakdown:
BTC0,95%
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$ETH – The price has bounced off the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which is the level I highlighted in some of my prior PAT updates.
Since then, momentum has picked back up to the upside, and as I’ve said before, as long as price holds above this band, I believe the most likely outcome remains further upside.
The next key POI to watch is the lost high-timeframe support range marked in green, sitting at $2.7K, where I think we could see a short-term rejection before continuation higher.
The invalidation for this bullish view would be a break below the support band. In that case, I would consider
ETH0,34%
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Read my latest interpretation on Iran rejecting the ceasefire proposal and how it will impact $OIL and the broader markets moving forward:
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Hyperscalers like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon need:
Power + Water + Land
And for that, they rely on public systems:
Grids
Water networks
Permitting
When demand scales too fast:
→ expansion is often publicly managed or funded
→ communities absorb part of the risk and costs
It’s shared infrastructure and you're paying for it.
Read my full analysis below:
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The market has largely moved on from geopolitics.
Oil is coming down, credit remains stable, and equities continue to push higher.
That doesn’t mean the risk is gone.
Right now, the bigger risk isn’t escalation, but complacency while the system is still somewhat fragile.
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$ETH – The price is still correcting on the low timeframes and seems to be moving up now. However, I believe this is part of a Wave B within a corrective Wave 2 that precedes a larger move to the upside in the coming days.
I believe short-term volatility does not matter here, as long as price remains above the high-timeframe support range marked in purple, sitting at $2.1K.
As long as this level holds, the most likely outcome remains further upside on the mid-term, the market structure stays bullish, and this consolidation phase remains healthy.
ETH0,34%
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Capital Markets never priced in this war as a major catalyst.
It has all been a distraction by market makers to create a counterparty to accumulate, so they can position themselves before the Fed adopts QE, in order to stimulate the economy once the labor market will weaken.
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I still see further downside on the low-timeframes on the table to fully flush out overleveraged longs, meaning that this would be a wave B that precedes a final corrective wave C, as part of a larger corrective wave 2.
But short-term volatility won't matter anymore when wave 3 arrives.
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We generally tend to see the most disbelief, anxiety, and fear around a potential continuation of the prior high-timeframe downtrend during Wave 2.
Wave 2 is designed to draw in as much upside liquidity as possible, making bears double down before fueling the next leg higher.
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The Daily News Breakdown is out!
Read it here:
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Wave 2 is not where you want to be bearish.
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All of my significant gains came from holding spot positions over the long term, with a clear plan.
Not from leverage.
Not from trading.
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$TSLA and $UNH reporting later this week.
Will be the most important earnings to track.
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$BABA has an amazing setup right now.
Extremely undervalued on the high-timeframes.
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The Disbelief Phase.
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Most traders confuse activity with progress.
They think moving money around proves they're winning.
Wrong.
The best trade you make today might be the one you don't take.
Let the setups come to you. Don't force them.
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Europe is being suffocated in real-time.
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