Recently, I've seen people using the supply curve of stablecoins to force-fit ETF inflows and outflows. Frankly, the correlation is pretty easy to see, but don’t mistake it for causation. When off-chain funds come in, they don’t necessarily turn into stablecoins first; they might just move around on the broker side first. The on-chain activity is just the final destination. When the time difference widens, the chart can deceive you.
What I personally pay more attention to as a “signal” is: whether the path taken during congestion for the same amount has shortened, whether the slippage suddenly
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