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December 11 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Rate cuts have exhausted their positive effects; implementation might be bearish?
From Powell's speech early this morning, it was understood that: the rate cut and interest rate level remain neutral, and the focus is now on inflation risks. This outlook has actually become dovish, leaving room for hawkish Harker to raise rates further. Yesterday, BTC hit a target of 9450, ETH targeted 3300 and closed profitably at 3450 across the board. Subsequently, 📉 is influenced by institutional profit-taking and the dual pressure of increased short-term US debt funds, leadin
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Will Powell's speech materialize, and will the bulls meet expectations?
The ideal wind will certainly blow into reality, and the nights endured will turn into light. In every seemingly ordinary day you've walked through, the energy accumulated and the knowledge sedimented will scatter into the stars, illuminating the path beneath your feet!
Looking back on today's thoughts, the K-line trend is presented on the market one by one. Bottoms are pierced to ride up, targets are reached to take profits, with a 3000-point space for Bitcoin and a 150-point space for Ethereum. Which one did you get?
It'
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How many more longs are there below?
Bottom connection point to go long
After-hours US stock market shows a slight pullback testing the bottom support, beginning to rebound. Currently, it has moved out of a certain range, and the bullish pattern is quite complete. At this time, there's no need to overanalyze the technical structure of the market; it’s meaningless. Just wait for Jerome Powell’s speech!
Hold on to your longs, set a trailing stop-loss, and steadily reduce your positions. In the face of such policy news, any analysis is unnecessary!
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Analysis of BTC/ETH ideas on December 10th:
Shadow Chairman Hassett's speech detonated trembling!
After last night's U.S. market, Fed chairman candidate Hassett revealed a super hawkish speech: the rate cut can exceed 25 basis points, which is agreed by Trump, and at the same time, Bank of America said that there is a possibility of expanding the balance sheet, and the news came out that institutions took chips and soared across the board!
BTC
Just after four hours of "wedge breakthrough", the short-term moving average long arrangement formed a golden cross, rebounded to the daily MA60 under p
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When the east isn’t bright, the west shines!
Took a loss on the short position, but reversed and went long on the right side to recover what was lost!
That's the charm of short-term trading: daytime choppy data backtesting, flexible adjustments in trading combined with aggregated market information, giving out breakout signals. Go in decisively on the right side—this kind of frequent up-and-down wick action gives too little information on the left side!
BTC
On the hourly level, there's a breakout with volume. If the evening pullback doesn't break below 9270, then tonight it will definitely tes
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BTC/ETH Analysis for December 9:
Inflation expectations locked at 3% ahead of Powell’s departure!
Over the past year, BTC has seen a cumulative outflow of 403,200 coins. In theory, this supply contraction should have supported price strength, but panic selling triggered a chain reaction, preventing the market from delivering as expected. More critically, institutions previously betting on rate cuts of over 25 basis points are now constrained by the 3% inflation expectation and are unable to achieve looser policy goals. Many are shifting their expectations to the more accommodative Japanese mar
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This week, BTC/ETH remain in a wide-range consolidation.
It has to be said that the market makers are becoming increasingly blatant; the market swings back and forth by thousands of points every day, seemingly creating many opportunities. From the perspective of the price structure, large short-term moves are completed in a single candlestick, leaving little time to react!
To be honest, the long position I tried to set up at midday was missed, and getting in halfway didn’t provide enough room for profit. The current market is simply wide-range consolidation without a clear direction, so both l
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There’s no such thing as everlasting peace.
Keep taking long positions at the lows.
BNB
The midday tip was to go long around the 900 level, with a maximum rebound to 914. There’s currently a 14-point range for short-term trades. If you want a bigger picture, reduce your position and look higher! #美联储降息预测
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You can see the range, but can't seize the opportunity!
When the opportunity comes, instinctive fear takes over!
Recently, the market has been very volatile, and it seems like there are many opportunities, but there are actually very few that are truly suitable to take!
Short-term ups and downs within a range are often completed in a single large candlestick. Previously, the retail investor group was larger, and candlestick indicators could reflect actual demand. Now, most of the spot holdings are in the hands of institutions and companies, with cycles of collateralization. Plus, AI quantitati
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BNB
The daily trend is driving a 4-hour rebound trend. Previously, the EMA indicator showed a slowdown in upward momentum. Currently, the 4-hour chart may be in a momentum accumulation stage. The RSI is extending toward the overbought zone, indicating that although the bulls are showing slight strength, buying confidence is insufficient, and the bears are not showing strong suppression either, suggesting that the short term will remain in a consolidation pattern.
For intraday short-term moves, pay attention to the 896 level. As long as the pullback does not break this level, it will drive a re
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December 8 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Storms brewing on the eve of the rate cut, SOPR reset and gathering momentum!
Last night’s market saw a sharp dip followed by a quick rebound, with erratic movements and no clear logic. The main focus this week is Thursday’s Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with a rate cut almost set in stone. Meanwhile, Japan is eyeing a rate hike, highlighting the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Don’t chase the market before the news is confirmed!
BTC
Last night’s dip broke the previous low and started a small-scale oversold rebound, breaking through short-term resistance. The 4
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Late night 🚨 alarm sounded, a major trend is imminent!
There was a sudden spike and liquidation wave in the evening, reminding not to enter trades at the midpoint. If there's no volatility, wait for the right position. If the rebound doesn't provide an opportunity on the right side, then set up an ambush on the left side.
BTC
The evening drop has already broken the level, just reaching a long position entry at 8800. Tonight, let's see if the rebound can break through 8950-9050. If it breaks through, continue with a small-scale rebound. If it can't, there will be another downward test, looking
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BTC/ETH Analysis for December 6:
It's the weekend, so let's keep it brief!
The expected pullback returned on Friday night. I preemptively positioned for BTC at 9250 down to a low of 8800. For ETH, the short at 3180 also reached the third target near 3070. This move isn't taking off just yet!
Looking at the overall market structure, the small-scale pullback is basically done. Next up are rate cuts from the US and rate hikes from Japan, both bearish factors, but before that, there will likely be another round of rebound.
BTC
Currently, after the wick, the market is in a consolidation and recover
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Double top on the daily chart with a minor bearish engulfing reversal...
Bearish engulfing before the US session kicks off as a prelude
Clear bearish signal, sharing my thoughts publicly
The midday short strategy has paid off, no ambiguous analysis, real-time accurate positions... BTC currently has a 1,800-point range, and ETH has a 70-point range as well. Whether you want to hold for bigger gains is up to you!
Now, we just wait for the final push from the PCE data after the US session!
#十二月行情展望
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Black Friday again?
BTC
After testing 9410 on the upside, it pulled back and is currently consolidating in a volatility range.
Whether it can continue upward depends on whether it can break through the 9400-9600 resistance zones. If it breaks through, a large amount of institutional funds will enter, targeting 10K-15K. If it fails to break through, it will continue to fluctuate.
Conversely, if it falls below the 9080-8900 support levels, it could trigger market fear and a chain reaction of sell-offs. If the weekly rebound fails to break out, it will look for support around 8500. $BTC #十二月行情展望
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December 5 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Tonight's PCE will be the last straw determining market direction!
At 23:00 after the US session, the September Core PCE Index will be released, along with the annual inflation expectations that will determine the December interest rate cut. The market expects PCE at 2.8%. If it is higher than the target, it will weaken expectations of a rate cut and trigger panic selling. If it is lower than the target, it will help the market price recover!
BTC
A double top has formed on the daily chart, and the narrowing BOLL channel shows a clear consolidation pattern. Yesterda
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It's not that there's no water in the well, it's that you haven't dug deep enough.
Profiting from both long and short positions, maximizing rhythm and precision!
BTC
Accurately predicted a minor pullback around 9300 in the evening, with the short position target directly aiming for 9090-8900. The lowest price reached 9080, easily capturing a 2200-point range! Then, pre-placed a long order at 9090, with the price rebounding to a high of 9260, flipping for another 1700 points!
ETH
Suggested a short position near 3200 for Ethereum, with the lowest dipping to 3064, steadily securing a 140-point pr
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BTC
At present, the hourly trend is weakening and there is a certain demand for a pullback. Tonight, watch whether the strength of the rebound can break through and hold above 9280. If it cannot break through, the pullback will continue. The biggest support below is at 8900-9090; long positions should wait at these two levels. Only a strong breakout above 9410 will lead to further rebound. Overall, the market is in a consolidation within a volatile range, with opportunities for both longs and shorts. Rate cuts will begin on the 10th. Every time there is a rate cut, the bullish sentiment is pri
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BNB
Current price 908, go long directly
Target: 928-939-950
Stop loss: 898
🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
$BNB #十二月行情展望
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