OnChainDetective

Although Bitcoin's price has retreated from last year's highs, investors believe that its long-term logic remains unchanged, mainly due to market consolidation. He holds a cautiously optimistic view on Bitcoin's future trend, expecting a rebound in the range of $125,000 to $150,000, and remains confident in its long-term value.

In the FTX collapse case, former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison will be released early on January 21, 2026, shortening her sentence by approximately 10 months. As a key witness, her cooperation has attracted market attention, highlighting the importance of risk management and compliance in the crypto industry.

ChatGPT has launched an age prediction feature that assesses age by analyzing user behavior to ensure minors do not access inappropriate content. Adult users who are misclassified can unlock permissions through identity verification, aiming to balance compliance and user experience.

Recent market volatility has intensified, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices declining mainly due to inflation concerns triggered by US trade policies. Investors should pay attention to policy developments, as trade uncertainties could impact the prices of risk assets.

MicroStrategy recently purchased 22,300 Bitcoins for $2.1 billion, demonstrating strong confidence in it. However, its stock price fell over 7% due to a new share issuance for financing. Despite Bitcoin declining due to geopolitical risks, institutions are still increasing their holdings at low levels, reflecting subtle changes in market sentiment.

【Crypto World】It's been a year since Trump took office, and Wall Street is indeed lighting fireworks. The old-school indices like Nasdaq and S&P 500 are continuously hitting new records, and investor sentiment is clearly warming up. This strong performance of major global stock markets reflects a return of risk assets—simply put, the appetite of big funds has returned. For the crypto market, this is an interesting signal. The rising enthusiasm in traditional finance often attracts institutional investors to shift their focus to a broader range of asset allocations. How long this rally in the US stock market can last and whether it will drive digital assets to break further into the mainstream are worth close observation.

【Blockchain Rhythm】Ethereum recently broke below the key support level of $3000 amid market fluctuations. According to market data, this important asset in the Web3 world has dropped 6.73% within 24 hours, a significant decline. This volatility reflects the current market sentiment shift and offers new considerations for traders and holders focused on the Ethereum ecosystem. From a technical perspective, breaking below $3000 suggests the possibility of further downside pressure in the short term, and investors should closely monitor the upcoming support levels.

【BlockBeats】Spot gold prices surged strongly in the short term, breaking through the $4,740 per ounce mark for the first time, reaching a new record high, with an intraday increase of 1.48%. This upward movement is not isolated—the Polish central bank recently approved a substantial plan to increase its gold holdings by 150 tons. Against the backdrop of global central banks continuously increasing their precious metal reserves, gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset has once again been highlighted, further driving prices higher.

Trend Research has been frequently trading on a certain exchange recently, re-entering 7,960 ETH, accumulating a total of 17,899 ETH. The total holdings have reached 644,600 ETH, worth over $2 billion, indicating that institutions continue to be optimistic about Ethereum.

Recently, Ethereum's trend has changed, gradually shifting from high-risk speculative assets to strategic allocation assets. By 2025, regulatory policies will become clearer, and institutions like BlackRock will increase their allocations. The fluctuations in ETF holdings reflect that long-term investors are dominating the market, with prices stabilizing around $3100.

Avalanche has recently performed strongly, with active on-chain applications and over 1.7 million daily active addresses, indicating genuine usage demand. On the funding side, buying pressure is dominant, with large investors continuously increasing holdings around $12, signaling long-term optimism. If AVAX can break through $15.36, it will open up room for an upward move.

【Crypto World】Co-founder Benjamin of the Cap team recently shared an interesting data point on social media — within just 24 hours of the project ICO and Stakedrop announcement, the Pendle APR around Cap surged by nearly 30 percentage points. At the same time, the total supply of cUSD also increased accordingly, adding a scale of 30 million USD. It seems this announcement indeed attracted a lot of liquidity, and the market's enthusiasm for this stablecoin ecosystem remains quite high.

Ethereum has recently rebounded, with the market's increased buying momentum mainly driven by spot purchases, and leverage not participating. Technical indicators and on-chain data are warming up, and bearish sentiment is weakening. The options market strategy leans towards selling call options, while spot buying continues to support the rebound, indicating stronger sustainability.

Recent market correction, a 25x ETH long position of a well-known account was partially liquidated, with unrealized losses exceeding $23.6 million, and daily losses surpassing $1 million. This correction has a significant impact on leveraged longs, reminding investors to exercise caution in high-leverage trading.

Hong Kong's new virtual asset regulation will remove the exemption threshold for licensed asset management institutions with License 9 from investing in cryptocurrencies, leading to increased compliance costs and potentially discouraging traditional asset management firms from exploring this area. At the same time, the new rules require assets to be held by licensed custodians, restricting the operations of Web3 venture capital funds. The association recommends introducing a self-custody option to maintain a balance between risk prevention and market innovation.

Perp DEX Trade.xyz within the Hyperliquid ecosystem announces that the XYZ100 trading pair will switch to isolated margin mode on January 20th, allowing users to withdraw unrealized profits and increasing operational flexibility. This trading pair tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, supports 24/7 trading, and is suitable for investors who need flexible trading.

NPM founder Isaac Z. Schlueter thanked the crypto community on social media, triggering a sharp fluctuation in the market cap of the Meme token NPM. It dropped from $8.9 million to $800,000 and then rebounded to $2 million, demonstrating the high volatility of the Meme coin market. Investment should be approached with caution.

【BitPush】MakinaFi platform遭遇 hacker attack. According to on-chain monitoring data, hackers stole approximately 1,299 ETH, worth about $4.13 million at market price. Notably, some of the stolen transactions were also front-run by MEV addresses. The stolen funds have been split into two addresses for concealment, with one address holding about $3.3 million and the other about $880,000. This incident serves as a warning, reminding users to stay vigilant about platform fund security.

NPM is an emerging Meme token. Less than 4 hours after launch, its market capitalization has reached $6.9 million, now stabilized at $5.4 million. The token pays tribute to the founder of package managers, Isaac Z. Schlueter, attracting developer attention. However, Meme coins lack practical applications, experience extreme price volatility, and investing should be approached with caution.

A whale adopted a high leverage strategy on January 20th, shorting 6355 ETH and simultaneously going long 99.8 BTC with 20x leverage, demonstrating a complex hedging logic. Currently, their account unrealized loss has reached $135,000, reflecting the cautious attitude of top players in the market.