DeFiAlchemist
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#美联储重启降息步伐 BTC's weekend movement is quite flat, with bearish signals being pretty obvious.
From a technical perspective, every time the price rebounds, it encounters selling pressure from previously trapped funds, and the candlesticks are forming a series of small bearish candles, showing hardly any upward momentum. There's also no positive news to provide a boost, and the bulls are clearly lacking confidence right now. The capital side is even more troublesome—large funds keep flowing out, and the market's buying power is too weak. Under these circumstances, the probability of continued weak
BTC-2.97%
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The Simpsons have poked fun at Bitcoin again, saying it could rise to "infinity" and that the traditional financial system is doomed sooner or later.
On the surface, it sounds like a joke, but if you think about it, it’s quite thought-provoking. On one side, you have the ever-bouncing cryptocurrencies, constantly making headlines; on the other, the old system that has operated for centuries, which seems stable but is actually riddled with growing cracks. The seemingly nonsensical plot in the cartoon might actually reflect reality—a new force challenging the old order, and this financial game i
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LightningSentryvip:
Even the Simpsons have started doing technical analysis, that's really something.
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Here we go again! For two consecutive months, we've been watching the non-farm payroll data release days, only to be met each time with announcements like "government shutdown, data delayed." This time, the Department of Labor just gave up: if the doors don't open, don't even think about seeing the data. This move has left both Wall Street and the crypto world baffled—but to be honest, after watching the markets for so many years, I actually think this kind of "data vacuum period" isn't necessarily a bad thing.
Let's clarify one logic first: non-farm payroll data itself isn't a crypto market i
ETH-4.48%
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EntryPositionAnalystvip:
Is the data vacuum period actually an opportunity? Will history repeat itself, and can we copy the homework this time?
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#数字货币市场洞察 From 4841U to 104974U, how did I make such a comeback in just one month?
To be honest, $1000LUNC this wave wasn’t just luck—it was about having the right method.
Last month, I started with 4947U as my principal, and after one month, my account grew to 104974U. $PIPPIN A lot of people have asked me how I did it, so today I’ll break down the core logic.
$LUNA2 Let’s get straight to the point—just remember these three things.
**First, my rolling position strategy is actually very simple**
When picking a target, I look at only one indicator—24-hour volatility must exceed 15%. I absolu
PIPPIN51.67%
AIA-9.39%
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FUD_Vaccinatedvip:
Discipline is the real money-making machine, not some black technology.
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I have a friend who’s been in this space for twelve years. Back then, he entered the market with 20,000 yuan, and now he’s made it to a small nine-figure sum—but if you ran into him on the street, you’d never guess he’s “wealthy.”
There’s nothing special about where he lives; he rides an electric scooter everywhere and still haggles with vendors over groceries. When I asked him why he doesn’t change his lifestyle, he said he just loves the down-to-earth vibe—it feels real.
To multiply his initial capital so many times, he didn’t rely on insider info or dumb luck. He just stuck to a few rules.
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AmateurDAOWatchervip:
The core is the mentality of stumbling, in fact, this logic is popular everywhere

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It's outrageous to turn 20,000 into nine figures, but I believe that this kind of person does exist, but he lives too simply

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The word "nothing" is well said, and many people are planted on it that they can't hold back

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To put it bluntly, you still have to endure it, and it is a hundred times better to be still

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That friend rode an electric car to buy groceries and bargain, this is what a real moneymaker looks like haha

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Quantity is the embodiment of emotions, I agree with this, it is much more reliable than any moving average indicator

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The detail of multiple volumes at the bottom is good, and it is too easy to be deceived in a single time

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Your heart is the biggest dealer, really
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#美联储重启降息步伐 $BOB This wave of decline hasn't bottomed out yet. That short position from yesterday should have yielded a good profit. Altcoin pumps are usually a bull trap for distribution, and this round is no exception.
The trend is clear, so the short strategy makes sense. At this point, it's safer to wait for a rebound signal before entering.
Today, I'll continue to watch a few promising altcoin targets. $PUFFER and $ACE are worth keeping an eye on for volatility opportunities.
BOB-10.76%
PUFFER31.44%
ACE29.16%
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StopLossMastervip:
Shorting feels great, but don't chase the highs. We've all seen those rebound fake-outs before.
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#ETH走势分析 $LUNC When it comes to trading contracts, there are two types of people in the circle.
Some get better and steadier as they trade; others get more anxious, eventually losing even their principal.
What’s the difference? It comes down to two words—**restraint** vs **losing control**.
$PIPPIN **Type One: People Who Understand the Rules**
They have a clear mind before opening a position.
Which level to enter, where to cut losses if wrong, and where to take profit if right—if they don’t have answers to these three questions, they won’t even click the mouse.
They don’t chase after sudden sp
ETH-4.48%
LUNC63.95%
PIPPIN51.67%
PUFFER31.44%
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LiquidationTherapistvip:
Well said, the probability of messing up on your own is indeed quite high. I'm the type of person who can't help but act when I see a big green candle.
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Finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel with this round of moves. Rolled my principal from 4,000u up to 30,000u, and just in funding fees alone I got eaten for 10,000u—there’s no way around it, that’s the price of playing with altcoins.
To be honest, the process was really tough. The first time it pumped to 0.19 my hands were shaking, but I didn’t sell; then it shot up to 0.24 and dropped back down, but I gritted my teeth and held on. Looking back now, if I’d gotten weak and sold, I’d probably have gotten out way too early.
Right now, my read on the market is that the whales are acc
PIPPIN51.67%
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PumpAnalystvip:
Haha, rolling 4,000 up to 30,000 and still getting hit with 10,000 in funding fees—that’s the real truth of playing with contracts. But your mentality is solid; not running at 0.19 really shows resilience.

But honestly, I’ve heard the whole “market maker accumulating strength” thing so many times. That jump from 0.3 to 1 dollar… you really need to check the technicals carefully, or it could just be another pump and dump show. Before hitting a million, think about where your take-profit point is—retail investors always end up losing out right at this stage.
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#美联储重启降息步伐 I've seen too many players with accounts under 1000U. The reason they lose money isn't because they misjudge the market, but because they can't control their own hands.
I once knew a trader who started with 700U and managed to grow it to just over 30,000 in eight months. He didn't have any special tricks; he just stuck to three things:
He always divided his funds into three parts, never going all in even if a coin looked like a sure bet;
He would rather stay on the sidelines when the market was unclear, only entering when he was confident in the trend;
He would immediately exit whe
BTC-2.97%
ETH-4.48%
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GovernancePretendervip:
Really, once you let go, your account is gone. The moment you can't stop, you've already lost.

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Turning 700U into 30,000 in eight months sounds easy but is hard to do. Most people act faster than they think.

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Still the same saying: staying alive is more important than making money. Those who can wait will eventually get their reward.

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If you set a stop loss, you have to execute it; otherwise, it's pointless. I've seen too many people deceive themselves.

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Even when the bull market comes, accounts that get liquidated are still worthless. That's the difference between gamblers and traders.

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Splitting into three positions is old advice, but some people just won't listen and insist on going all-in.

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Staying in cash is also a form of trading—much better than random reckless operations.
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Will the Fed cut rates in December? The market has basically already bet on it—at next Tuesday and Wednesday’s (December 9-10) FOMC meeting, a 25 basis point rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion.
First, let’s talk data. According to the latest CME “FedWatch” tool, the probability of a 25 basis point cut has soared to 87%, with only a 13% chance of no change. Even more interesting, the probability of another 25 basis point cut in January next year has reached 64%, and some are even betting on a cumulative 50 basis point cut (probability 27%). Market sentiment is clear.
Recently, Wall Street
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SmartMoneyWalletvip:
87% probability? Ha, the market has already priced it in. One word from Powell can reverse everything, and these retail investors are still dreaming.
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#数字货币市场洞察 Identify the market trend and grasp the key levels. When you get the market rhythm right, profits will come naturally.
$BTC $ETH
BTC-2.97%
ETH-4.48%
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WenMoon42vip:
You definitely need to grasp the market trends, but it's easier said than done, haha.
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The extension plan for the 22 Vanke MTN004 bond has finally surfaced—the principal and interest, originally due on December 15, will simply be postponed for a year, with neither principal nor interest paid in the meantime. Of course, creditors are not having it and have added two proposals, with their core demands being very clear: either pay the due interest first, or provide some real collateral or credit enhancement measures.
To make matters worse, two rating agencies have almost simultaneously announced the termination of their ratings on Vanke and its bonds. To put it nicely, it's called
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Degentlemanvip:
Extending the term by one year without paying principal or interest—this move is unbelievable... It's absolutely right for creditors to refuse. The rating agency directly withdrew its rating, which shows that the problem is even more serious than imagined. Instead of using fancy words, it's better to face reality directly.
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#美联储重启降息步伐 Yesterday, both $BTC and $ETH plunged, leaving many people confused: Isn’t the expectation of interest rate cuts heating up? Why did prices fall instead?
At the end of the day, it’s still a liquidity issue. Looking at global markets, you can spot some early signs—although expectations for rate cuts are rising, it seems the market has already mostly priced in this positive news. In the financial markets, aside from focusing on the potential rate cut in December, more attention is actually shifting toward the possibility of a rate hike for the Japanese yen.
The bond market illustrates
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PretendingSeriousvip:
Once the yen rate hike happened, all arbitrage trades collapsed—no wonder BTC crashed along with it.

Capital is flowing back to the yen, and US Treasuries are also seeing outflows. This wave of liquidity shift is really intense.

Short-term bond yields are still rising? That means expectations for a December rate cut have long been priced in.

The Russell 2000 is still falling—surface-level optimism can't hide the underlying risks.

Next week, we need to keep a close eye on the Asian session. Feels like institutions are about to make a move again.

This inflation stickiness is annoying; once the PCE data is out, we'll know.

So nothing is certain right now—we're just waiting to see what Japan does next.

A USD rate cut paired with a yen rate hike—retail investors like us are the ones stuck in between and bleeding.

The topic is interesting, but predicting things like this is really unreliable. Let's talk about it again next week.
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#ETH走势分析 There's some wild news coming out of India—a smuggling ring is now using stablecoins for money laundering.
The latest report from the DRI (Indian Directorate of Revenue Intelligence) shows that stablecoins like USDT are replacing traditional underground hawala networks and have become the new favorite payment tool for gold and contraband smuggling. It sounds crazy, but there are actually two layers of meaning here:
First, the real demand for stablecoins in gray areas is surging. This will make on-chain capital flows even more active, even though this growth isn’t exactly above board.
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BTC-2.97%
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MidnightMEVeatervip:
Good morning, even smuggling gangs are using stablecoins now. Regulatory crackdowns are probably not far off. Expect short-term panic selling; just hold your spot positions and don't get caught in the sandwich attacks on contracts.
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Recently, I reviewed my portfolio and went through the charts of all the popular sectors and various altcoins on the market.
After looking, my mentality completely collapsed.
Counting from the highs in December last year to now, over this whole year, apart from those top projects with inherent halos and strong consensus, the rest? Over 90% of altcoins have dropped so much even your mom wouldn’t recognize them.
Dropped 3 to 5 times? Congratulations, you’re already considered a “resilient player.”
Even worse are those that got halved, then halved again, dropping to a tenth of their original pric
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RiddleMastervip:
That hits hard. My pile of shitcoins has already gone numb. The main issue was not cashing out in time and shifting to the leading tokens.
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#美联储重启降息步伐 there is a clear anomaly in market capital flows. On-chain data shows that large holdings are being transferred in batches, which usually signals something significant. The price trend has already provided the answer—continuous declines, forming a typical stepwise downward pattern.
From a technical perspective, support levels are being repeatedly breached. Given the current sell-off intensity, the 0.015 area below could be a key test level. If choosing a short strategy, risk control should be the top priority—set your stop-loss points in advance, don’t wait until a real breakdown t
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FOMOSapienvip:
Here we go again, the whales are quietly moving their funds again?

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I've heard the term "stair-step decline" so many times my ears are numb—it's all just the same old tricks in the end.

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0.015? I'll bet five bucks it won't break that. If it does, I'll be living on air.

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Seriously? The Fed cuts rates and the market still drops like this? This is a bit absurd, haha.

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Forget about those stop-loss levels—they never really help anyway. Better to wait and see what the trading volume says.

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Instead of worrying about shakeouts, maybe ask yourself how much more your account can shrink—haha, that's painfully real.

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On-chain data is acting up again. Every time they call it "anomaly," it just turns out to be normal fluctuation.

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There's nothing wrong with saying protect your principal, but honestly, who can really do that? It's all hindsight wisdom.
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To be honest, in this circle, having steady hands is more important than having a quick mind.
When I first entered the game, I was in debt, with only 4,000 yuan left to get by. Now? My account balance has reached eight figures. Sounds like a joke, but those who've been through it understand—there's no special talent here, just relentless commitment to a "brute-force compounding strategy" and a ruthless determination forged through hardship.
Today, I'm laying out the hard-earned lessons from years of grinding—purely my personal record of real-world experience. Take it for what it's worth.
**Get
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RuntimeErrorvip:
Steady hands are really top-notch, that's true. But eight figures still sound a bit far-fetched, haha.

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Quitting after winning three times in a row sounds easy, but it's insanely hard to actually do.

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I just want to ask, is this "three position strategy" really that magical, or is it just that when the market is good, everything makes money?

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Take out the principal after 80% profit, cut losses at 30%... Sounds good on paper, but can you really keep your cool during actual trading?

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Taking a whole day off from the market when you have a small account—this kind of self-discipline goes against human nature, I just can't do it, haha.

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Still the same saying: survival first, making money second. Most people haven't even figured out the first rule.

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To put it bluntly, staying alive is more important than getting rich quick, but everyone who comes in wants to get rich overnight. It's a contradiction.

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I'm looking forward to more on the institutional entry timing window—it feels like this is where the key point comes.
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#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH Core PCE inflation for September has dropped to 2.8%. Is the rate cut finally about to happen?
As soon as this data was released, the market immediately started betting on next week’s Fed meeting. What does a cooling PCE mean? Easing inflation pressure, more policy room, and the rate cut cycle might really be coming.
Looking back at history, every time a rate cut cycle starts, liquidity floods in like water through a gate. Yields on traditional assets drop—where does the money go? Alternative assets like Bitcoin often become hedging tools. Of course, this doesn’t mean pri
BTC-2.97%
ETH-4.48%
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SelfStakingvip:
The shoe is really about to drop, does this mean my coins are going to rise again... But the last time I said this, I lost money for three months.
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Crypto KOLs are about to be proven wrong! The four-year bull-bear cycle is bound to break! Bitcoin and Ethereum will continue to soar in 2026! Let's witness this legendary moment together! No altcoin season! #比特币 #Ethereum #打脸 #BTC #ETH #btc #eth #trading #牛市 #bear market
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