Crypto_Xincheng

Market Game and Risk Pricing Under Trump's 48-Hour Ultimatum
Trump's 48-hour final warning to Iran is essentially a high-risk psychological warfare in the market. Its impact on the global financial markets has far exceeded the scope of geopolitical issues, directly rewriting short-term asset pricing logic.
The core of this ultimatum revolves around the shipping rights through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump is using the crackdown on Iran's civilian infrastructure as leverage to pressure Iran into compromise.
The market's sharp volatility stems from two main concerns:
① The blockade of the Strait o

April 7th ETH Market Analysis
Yesterday's analysis indicated that the market would continue to fluctuate upward, and last night we also advised paying attention to the 15-minute retracement, which followed our expectations. The resistance above remains around 2185, but it has not been broken. We mentioned yesterday that as long as it does not fall below 2080, the upward trend will continue. Currently, it is around the rebound.
The overall approach for today remains unchanged. As long as 2080 is not broken, a rebound is expected. From the 4-hour and daily charts, the current move has not comple

April 7th BTC Market Analysis
The strategy I shared yesterday was that as long as the price doesn't break below 68,300, it will continue to rebound and move upward. This morning, the price reached 68,300 twice without breaking below, forming a support level at this position. Currently, a rebound is underway. The movement is exactly in line with our yesterday's expected analysis.
The overall trend remains unchanged, still primarily characterized by wide-range fluctuations. On the daily chart, attention should be paid to whether the EMA30 line can hold above the trendline, and whether the 69,900

Liquidity demand in the Solana ecosystem is rapidly expanding, and institutional funds may be accelerating their entry 📈
Although a single minting appears to be sudden, it’s actually part of a larger-scale capital injection. Just based on data from the day before (April 5), Circle’s total minted on Solana over the past 7 days was about 3.25 billion USDC, setting the biggest single-week record as of 2026. This suggests that the 250 million minted last night is part of this week’s ongoing massive issuance
Next, watch whether Solana’s TVL can hold at a high level, and whether this capital will t

$ETH is about to surge—you can’t “imagine”
The weekly line is about to widen and enter a consolidation range. The consolidation range is 1930-2375, with the aim of repairing the indicator
The daily line has already formed divergence, the downside momentum is weakening 📉, and the MACD has already formed a golden cross. Pay attention to the short-term resistance above$2188 . If it breaks through, it will move around 2370-2400
In the four-hour chart, the market is gradually being run by the bulls. As long as it doesn’t break below 2080, it has to go up
So, to sum it up: rise, rise, rise 📈📈📈

Bitcoin's current pattern is very similar to the pattern before the silver surge🚀
Is it possible that Bitcoin's bottom is at 60K in a short period of time?
Everyone, feel free to make bold predictions.

🌝 Why do more and more people say Solana is a scam❓
$SOL There really are a lot of controversies and risks, making many people feel like it’s a scam. The main reasons are:
① Too many scams in the ecosystem:
There are especially many meme coins and rug pulls on Solana, because fees are low, the speed is fast, new projects are easy to launch, and they’re also easy to be abused. This leads to frequent phishing attacks, and users have lost more than hundreds of millions of dollars.
② Outages in its early network history:
In the early days, there were many full-network downtimes, the longest last

Polymarket prediction markets show that the probability of 0 Federal Reserve rate cuts by 2026 has already exceeded 39%, and in the short term it has surged by 24%.
The probability of 3 rate cuts is 9%, and in the short term it has fallen by 28%.
From the market’s perspective, expectations for rate cuts this year are gradually decreasing.

4.6 BTC Market Analysis
After two days over the weekend, the market has remained relatively stable with no significant changes, oscillating as we expected between 65,500 and 69,300. In the early morning, there was a breakout at the 4-hour triangle pattern, reaching the upper boundary of the range at 69,300.
Weekly Chart:
The weekly chart has been oscillating at this level for nearly two months without breaking downward. Currently, the MACD indicator on the chart is about to converge, so in the upcoming weekly timeframe, we should watch whether the MACD can form a bullish crossover below the ze

Trump: We just carried out an epic rescue operation in Iran!
Wall Street: Translate, translate, what does "positive news realized" mean?
Iran: ???
U.S. stocks: Got it, rallying today! 🇺🇸📈, thanks to the president's speech!

Ethereum and Bitcoin Halving: A Convergent Path to Deflation
Bitcoin's halving mechanism was introduced in 2009, reducing the mining reward by half every 210k blocks to strictly cap the total supply at 21 million coins. This hard-coded deflationary design, with supply sharply decreasing every four years, continuously reinforces its scarcity as digital gold. Historical data shows that each halving triggers a super bull run, as the sharp reduction in miner sell pressure resonates with rising market expectations, pushing the price to new all-time highs.
After completing the merge in 2022, Ethereu

This week's (4.6-4.12) key previews:
April 6
Trump delays strike on Iranian energy facilities again; April 6 becomes the next focus;
April 9
Israeli officials: U.S. sets April 9 as the target date to end the war;
The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the April 9 monetary policy meeting;
April 10
The first post-war CPI report will be released on April 10 at 20:30, potentially reflecting the war's impact on inflation;
April 12
Genius: Season 1 will end on April 12, with a 50% increase in airdrop quotas;
Others (specific times not yet determined)
CZ: The new book "Freedom of Money" will

The 46k ETH staked by the Ethereum Foundation marks a shift from "passive selling" to "active participation in the network and self-sustainability."
This is a positive reinforcement for the network, signaling reduced selling pressure and increased confidence for ETH holders. For the ETF itself, it demonstrates financial maturity. In the long term, this will help the Ethereum ecosystem develop more healthily.
In the short term, prices still need to be considered in conjunction with BTC trends.
$BTC $ETH

4.5 BTC Market Analysis
The approach I shared yesterday was that the weekend would be dominated by consolidation. Now that it's Sunday, we should focus on the potential trend changes this afternoon and tomorrow. As mentioned yesterday, the resistance around 67,300 will be key. The price also reached a high of 67,500 before pulling back. That 67,500 level is also the resistance of our drawn descending trendline. As long as this level is not broken, we should remain cautious of downside risks. To maintain a bullish outlook, the price must stay above 66,500.
Today, the focus remains on consolidat

4.4 BTC Market Analysis
First, I wish everyone a happy weekend🌞
Bitcoin usually consolidates sideways over the weekend. The upcoming key turning point is expected between Sunday afternoon and Monday. The overall strategy remains unchanged: only if the price stays above 65,500 will there be a chance to initiate an upward rebound. Additionally, a breakout of the four-hour converging triangle needs to be achieved. Today, the market will mainly fluctuate without a clear direction, with the trading range still around 65,500 to 67,300.
If there's no market movement over the weekend, spend more time

Will cryptocurrencies continue to decline after the non-farm payroll report? Will June see the first rate cut of the year?
First, look at the data:
In March, the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment increased by 178k jobs, compared to an expected 60k (a bearish signal for risk assets).
According to CME “FedWatch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 99.5%. The chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by June is 7.8%, while the probability of no change is 91.7%. The probability of a cumul

4.3 BTC Market Analysis
This week is about to end, and there hasn't been much significant movement. The price has been mainly fluctuating within the range of 65,500-69,300, perfectly following the trend we predicted a few days ago. As we approach the weekend, it will once again be dominated by political factors. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, the price is oscillating at the end of a triangle pattern. As long as it doesn't break above 67,800, we need to be cautious of risks, because the current bullish momentum remains very weak and is still trading around 65,500. In summary, as long as it doe