GateUser-cc6abff6

Grok is one of the more user-friendly LLMs I've experienced for prediction markets because it can search the latest X messages in real-time and has comprehensive capabilities, often helping to analyze events.
However, sometimes it's quite absurd. Just now, it said a certain market had a huge edge, and a few minutes later, based on Monte Carlo simulations, it claimed the pricing was reasonable.
Why is using LLMs for predictions unreliable?
Lack of memory and feedback loop — LLMs don't remember what they've said before, always providing one-off answers.
Good at narrative pollution, bad at probab

a16z crypto releases 2026 forecast: The next phase of Crypto will "Surpass the New Blockchain."
Three directions:
1. Prediction Markets - From Entertainment to Decision-Making Infrastructure
2. Verifiable Computing - ZK/FHE Breakthroughs to Overcome On-Chain Computing Bottlenecks
3. Staked Media - Rebuilding the Creator Economy with Staking
2017-2021: The New Public Chain Wars (ETH, SOL, AVAX...)
→ Everyone is competing to see who has higher TPS and lower Gas
2022-2025: Application Layer Explosion (DeFi, NFT, GameFi)
→ But still revolving around "Finance"
2026+: After Infrastructure Matures, T

Once the prediction market reaches a certain level of accuracy,
and combined with suspected insider addresses continuously profiting,
regulators are starting to lose patience again.
Nancy Pelosi and 30 other Democratic lawmakers are pushing a bill:
Prohibiting elected officials from betting on political events in prediction markets.
The reason is "to prevent insider trading."

Everyone says Claude Code is great. I initially subscribed for $20/month to try it out.
It’s indeed very smooth and satisfying to use. But I quickly encountered a problem: after a few consecutive interactions, the usage limit is triggered, and I have to wait a few hours for the quota to reset. For scenarios like coding, which require continuous dialogue, this restriction is quite frustrating.
Just in time, I needed to develop an online version quickly, and there was no time to wait. After some thought, I upgraded directly to $249.99/month for a one-month trial to see if it’s worth the price.
T

OpenAI has just launched ChatGPT Health, which can connect to your health check reports, Apple Health, and fitness app data.
But it does not diagnose or prescribe medication. What it does is: help you understand those confusing lab reports, identify the trend of your blood pressure over the past six months, and prepare better questions before seeing a doctor.
AI won't directly make you live longer. But if it can help you detect issues earlier, follow medical advice more effectively, and manage your health proactively, it could indeed extend your lifespan in the long run.
This is not AI treatin

A few days ago, I asked AI to design arbitrage strategies for Polymarket, and it came up with 14 in one go: M1 Deterministic Arbitrage, M2 Multi-leg Portfolio, M3 Whale Follow, M4 Internal Trading Surveillance... all the way to M14.
My initial thought was to run them all first and see which ones could make money. The VPS was filled with scrolling green logs, which was quite intimidating.
But it crashed on the first day. Running all 14 processes simultaneously, the 2G memory was completely overwhelmed. Requests were sent too quickly, and the logs were full of "Detected Opportunity," but very fe

The AI quota resets every 5 hours, but it has somehow created a sense of "limited-time buffet anxiety" for me.
Whether I'm hungry or not, just watching the countdown makes me want to eat a few more bites. Seeing that I haven't used up the quota before it refreshes, I even feel like I've lost out.
This is Antigravity's quota monitoring: keeping a close eye on the blood bars of Claude and Gemini in real-time.
For Vibe Coder, this panel can be described as both a "life extension dashboard" and a "forced consumption reminder."
Even if the code runs smoothly without bugs, as long as I see there's 1