12:00
Looking back at yesterday's previous orders and opinions, there is nothing wrong with it, but the BTC is inserted deeper, and the ether has risen more than expected, but there is nothing wrong with the overall direction views and logic, and I personally have cleared all of them and taken profits.
So today's views are as follows: to the current four-hour to the daily level of k given signals are bullish signals, the key is to the small time level, such as whether one hour will fall below the key position to push small and then change the short trend, at present, there are two key support levels around 3240-3190, the key is that 3190 does not fall below and will not reverse, basically 3240-3370 so that the probability of going back and forth is greater, and then with the non-farm payroll data of these two days, interest rate cuts and other blessings, it will not be shocked for long, The pressure above is 3370-3430 to make fish, and the long order near 3430 must come out, because there is no eternal rise and no permanent fall, the vicinity of 3430 is the strongest pressure, and it is also the position of the daily rebound Fibonacci sequence of 38.2, if you can't go up, you have to come down, and there is such a probability that it will go up to more than 3600, and you have to eat the meal one bite at a time, and there is always a chance to enter the market and calm your mind.
Then the follow-up operation idea is clear, low lot, because the low is in the direction, continuing the bulls, the meat will generally be larger, not that you can't go short, ultra-short-term is not within the scope of consideration.
The strategy order, that is, the prediction order, the current small support is 3280 here, you can enter the opening position nearby, make up near 3240, stop loss 3220, the position is large, the position is small, you can make up another position near 3190, the strict stop loss is 3170, and the take profit is about 3360-3430.
This is a strategy and judgment in the general direction, ultra-short-term is not within the scope of strategy, the specific is still subject to the disk, respect the market, and revere the market.
BTC still has a demand for 96400-800, this wave of BTC is relatively weak, the key support is around 91400-9W, you can also buy more in batches, stop loss 89800, take profit 94000-96400 or so.
Personal opinions, for reference only.

12:10
Reviewing the current market after the weekend, the view I had on Saturday followed the third scenario, which was also the one I personally leaned towards—spot on, right? The main thing is, I anticipated the outcome but didn't expect it to play out with such a spike and surge, but I still managed to catch some of it myself.
Back to the current market: after stabilizing at 3110, as long as it doesn't break down effectively, there's a high probability that in the following period it'll break above the previous high and reach 3360 or higher. But that's a bit far off; let's focus on the present. Right now, the odds of reaching around 3190 and 3250 have increased.
As shown in the chart below: As of now, minor support is around 3060, strong support at 3105-10, first resistance at 3190, second resistance around 3250. Personally, I think this morning's drop was a pullback, and after the pullback, the price continued to rise to the current level.
So the trading strategy is pretty clear: go long on dips. The farthest target for now is around 3250. Don’t get hung up on specific points or aim for perfection; focus on the direction and don’t expect to catch every single move from start to finish.
My personal trading strategies are as follows:
1. Watch for another pullback around 3060; if it stabilizes, go long with a stop-loss at the current low and take profit at 3150-90. Whether to hold further depends on the price action.
2. If it breaks below 3050-60 and pulls back to 3105-10, go long with a stop-loss at 2985. 2980-90 is the strongest support; if that breaks, there’s definitely more downside. Take the loss if it happens—don’t count on luck.
3. If it breaks above 3150, consider a breakout trade, stop-loss at the previous two 15-minute lows, take profit at 3190-3250, and see if you want to hold for 3360 depending on the price action. For BTC, the first support is 89,700, strongest support at 88,900. Similarly, the strategy is to go long on dips, with targets temporarily at 94,000-96,400-800 or so. Focus on direction, don’t get stuck on exact levels.
There’s major data coming out this Thursday, plus recent news about Japan’s rate hike and other factors, so I won’t stubbornly stick to a single view. Pay more attention. And as always, I don’t do ultra-short-term trades, so the above analysis and strategies don’t cover that. Pick one strategy and accept its stop-loss, try to keep a calm mindset.
Personal views for reference only.
For those following my trades and making money, I’m not asking for any tips—everything’s free and I trade myself too. At least give a like and follow to support, thanks!

Brothers, here comes the follow-up trading plan. Read the chart carefully. Like and follow if you're making money by copying my trades.
13:10 - Reviewing the current market based on yesterday’s ideas and strategies, I can say it was pretty much perfect, and it also validated the three scenarios I mentioned the day before. You can look back at the strategies from yesterday and the day before; overall, there wasn’t much difference, mainly because the direction was correct.
Now, looking at the current market as shown in the chart, here’s my personal opinion:
After yesterday's sharp drop, due to news, we got a second opportunity to short and both hit take profit perfectly—no need to catch the very bottom. I've closed all positions in BTC and ETH and am currently holding no positions. Here’s my current analysis and strategy: there are still three possible scenarios for the current move, and since it's the weekend, the market is more likely to move sideways within a broad range.
First scenario: Wide range consolidation, i.e., around 3060-2980.
Second scenario: The green arrow path—pushing up towards the strong resistance at 3110, failing to break through, and then falling back to 2990-2940.
Third scenario: Around 3060-80, not focusing on exact points, mainly direction; if 3090 can’t hold, a continued bearish move down to 2920-40.
Personally, I lean toward the third scenario. But in all cases, around 2990 is a must-reduce position point, which controls risk since you already have profit to lock in.
Of course, all of this is based on technical analysis and predictions—the actual moves depend on the market’s flexibility.
There’s also a fourth possibility, which is the chart I shared the day before yesterday: pushing up to retest the 3250 previous high and breaking through to 3360 or above. Based on the current market, this seems unlikely, but it’s possible if we break and hold 3110. That’s just my personal take.
With this, the trading plan is clear: focus on the scenario with the highest probability—mainly shorting at the top. The strategy is to watch if 3060-80 becomes effective resistance to enter shorts, possibly in batches. Add another position around 3110, set stop loss 10 points above 3110, and as for take profit, everyone knows—reduce positions around 2990-3000, then aim for 2920-40, or close the swing trade, depending on personal preference and market changes.
If 3110 is broken, look for long opportunities. The past couple of days, as you can see, I’ve only taken big moves, no frequent trading, so ultra-short-term trades aren’t in my consideration. I’m just providing you with a big picture and direction for reference. If you make money with ultra-short-term trades, that’s fine—just don’t lose money.
For BTC, the first resistance above is at 90500, strong resistance at 91200, and there’s a chance to retest around 87800 again. I’m still leaning toward shorting at the top, but will be cautious with entries. If 91200 is broken, the probability increases for a move up to 94000-96000.
Mainly, let’s see if the weekend brings a big wide-range consolidation. A strong single directional move is unlikely; markets don’t just keep going up or down endlessly.

14:40
Last night's market performed as expected, but there was significant volatility after the US session. ETH made another attempt at 3220. Fortunately, the outcome was good, and the rebound happened as anticipated. Whether it will break through 3250 remains to be seen.
My personal view on the current market is shown in the chart below: After the rebound, there's resistance at 3200, with the highest point near 3192, followed by a drop and a one-hour pullback. The current minor support is at 3110, with the second support around 3050, similar to yesterday. The difference is that yesterday was a four-hour pullback, while now we might see a four-hour wide-range consolidation.
In terms of strategy, selling high today may work better. You can short at the current price of 3155-65, with a small stop loss at 85, a reasonable stop loss at 3200, and target 3105-3060. I personally suggest taking profit a few points above the support level. The main goal is to exit the position; aiming for perfection can sometimes cause you to miss out and affect your mindset.
BTC is also in a wide-range consolidation between 93200-90800. A reasonable short position should have a stop loss above 93200, and take profit above 90800.
These are just my personal opinions for reference only.
I don’t trade frequently. If you’re making money by following my strategies, please like and follow for more consistent profits! If you trade frequently, whether you’re making money or not, you need to be mindful of your mindset. Normal stop losses are fine, but you need to have a basis for them and a good risk-reward ratio. Only with a good mindset can you survive in this market.

14:20
The current market is consistent with the direction of the past two days. The major range of 3150-3250 has been reached. BTC is still 2,000 points away from 96,000, but in terms of direction, there haven't been any mistakes. Although I didn't hold onto my position, it doesn't affect my market judgment or trading strategy.
Looking ahead, as shown in the chart below: after reaching strong resistance around 3250 and getting pushed down, with the volume also weakening, a pullback is likely next. It's time to consider short positions. The support level to watch is around 3050-40, which is also the starting point of this move. If you don't have a position, you can consider shorting at 3210-20, with a stop loss at 3242. The stop loss isn't big. For take profit, consider taking profit in batches around 3140-3050. First support level—reduce positions near breakeven. Risk-reward ratio is about 1:4.
Observe further after that. If 3050 doesn't break and the price surges again, it may break through 3250 to above 3360—take it step by step. Don't expect perfect entry and exit points; it's easy to miss out and see profits retrace. That's something I've felt in the past two days.
BTC short positions around 94,200-90,800, with about 3,000 points profit. BTC can be watched around the current level of 93,800. If it doesn't break through 94,200, you can enter a short position. Stop loss is about 500 points, take profit 3,000 points. Risk-reward ratio is above 1:5.
As shown in the chart below, there are currently three possible trends: the first is the colored arrow, the second is blue, the third is green. Personally, I lean toward the second, which also aligns with the short strategy.
Personal views for reference only.

14:20
The current market is consistent with the direction of the past two days. The major range of 3150-3250 has been reached. BTC is still 2,000 points away from 96,000, but in terms of direction, there haven't been any mistakes. Although I didn't hold onto my position, it doesn't affect my market judgment or trading strategy.
Looking ahead, as shown in the chart below: after reaching strong resistance around 3250 and getting pushed down, with the volume also weakening, a pullback is likely next. It's time to consider short positions. The support level to watch is around 3050-40, which is also the starting point of this move. If you don't have a position, you can consider shorting at 3210-20, with a stop loss at 3242. The stop loss isn't big. For take profit, consider taking profit in batches around 3140-3050. First support level—reduce positions near breakeven. Risk-reward ratio is about 1:4.
Observe further after that. If 3050 doesn't break and the price surges again, it may break through 3250 to above 3360—take it step by step. Don't expect perfect entry and exit points; it's easy to miss out and see profits retrace. That's something I've felt in the past two days.
BTC short positions around 94,200-90,800, with about 3,000 points profit. BTC can be watched around the current level of 93,800. If it doesn't break through 94,200, you can enter a short position. Stop loss is about 500 points, take profit 3,000 points. Risk-reward ratio is above 1:5.
As shown in the chart below, there are currently three possible trends: the first is the colored arrow, the second is blue, the third is green. Personally, I lean toward the second, which also aligns with the short strategy.
Personal views for reference only.

12:45
The current market has reached a point of consolidation. Personally, I confirm that it has temporarily stopped falling and is looking for a rebound. There is currently a divergence structure appearing in the one-hour chart. At present, the range is consolidating and fluctuating between 2780 and 2820. If 2780 is not effectively broken today, there will be an oversold rebound, possibly around 2860-2905. Bitcoin is at the 89500-90000 level.
The stop loss for Ethereum can be set below 2780, and for Bitcoin at 85800. You can act at the current price!
Personal opinion, for reference only.