#加密市场行情震荡 #rsETH攻击事件后续进展

$BTC $ETH Don't blame the market maker for taking your money! ETH consolidation isn't a shakeout; you're rushing to give money to others.
ETH has been consolidating for so long—are the market makers shaking me out? Why does it go up when I short, and go down when I go long? Are the market makers watching my little money?
Let me tell you, it's not that the market makers are targeting you; you simply haven't understood the current market situation: what you think is a shakeout is actually large funds in the entire market waiting for the same news. If you rush to enter, you're just giving others your money.
Are you also being whipped back and forth?
I guess you've been doing this recently:
Seeing a green candle on the 4-hour chart, rushing to short with leverage, only to see it rise after you enter
Seeing a red candle on the daily chart, going all-in on the bottom, only to see it crash after you buy
Blaming the market maker for targeting you, calling the market crazy, getting whipped back and forth—so you're just unlucky?
Look at this data to understand: Figure 2
In the past week, 60% of retail traders opening longs lost money, 55% of retail traders opening shorts lost money—whipsawing isn't targeting you; you're just rushing to give away your money.
What you think is a shakeout is actually large funds waiting and watching.
And then you say, with such a long consolidation, if it's not a shakeout, what is it?
Let me tell you, those big players holding thousands of ETH haven't moved in three days, and exchange funds haven't really entered—these big funds are waiting for the ETH ETF approval result.
When Bitcoin ETF was about to be approved, the pattern was exactly the same: consolidation, no one moves, everyone is waiting, no one wants to bet early and risk losing dozens of points. What you think is a shakeout is actually big funds not daring to move; you're rushing in to be the cannon fodder.
The bullish and bearish signals you see are all weak, fake signals that can't be weaker.
That's also the core message I want to convey today: those bullish and bearish signals you see are completely useless.
Look at this chart of signal strength: Figure 3
The 4-hour bearish signal is only 38.9%, less than 4 out of 10 times it will succeed; the daily bullish signal is only 49.1%, less than half! As traders, we need at least 60% strength to act; if you enter now, you're not trading—you're just gambling on size!
The golden cross divergence you see, all those things, everyone can see them; the small profit you're chasing isn't enough to cover slippage. The core issue now isn't the direction; it's whether the signals are strong enough.
Key price levels: Figure 4
This is the current ETH price, along with our key levels:

Situation When to buy / sell How much drop / rise to exit How high / low it can go
ETF approved, signals strong Near 2320 Light position buy If it drops to 2209, exit It can rise to 2683
ETF not approved, signals weak Below 2280 Short sell If it rises to 2359, exit It can drop to 2231