#Crypto Market Rebound  Bitcoin soars to $108,000 with Iran-Israel ceasefire: Markets aim for relief and new highs.

After the volatility experienced in cryptocurrency markets over the weekend, Bitcoin regained momentum with news of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, rising to $108,000 today. BTC had fallen below the psychologically important $100,000 level due to geopolitical tensions throughout last weekend. However, an upward turn began as optimism in the market increased starting Monday.

In particular, US President Donald Trump's statements regarding the "complete ceasefire" declaration provided confidence in the markets that global tensions would not escalate in the short term. These developments not only pushed the BTC price up; they also supported the value gains of major altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). The total market value of cryptocurrency markets rose again to $3.4 trillion.

Macroeconomic Outlook: The Fed's Wait-and-See Attitude and the Weak Dollar Effect.

Despite the cautious stance of US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell on interest rate cuts, markets expect a rate cut of at least 50 basis points to be on the table by the end of the year. In his latest statement, Powell stated that economic fundamentals are strong and that future data will be monitored for changes in monetary policy. With these statements, it is thought that the Fed has postponed the first cut to December.

On the other hand, the weakening of the dollar index is increasing interest in risky assets such as Bitcoin. While the dollar, which had its weakest performance in the first half of 2025, weakens against inflation in traditional markets, investors are turning to digital assets that offer both protection and growth potential. This situation stands out as another macro factor supporting BTC's upward movement.

Institutional demand is strengthening: ETF inflows, government reserves and corporate strategies.

The positive momentum in the market is driven by increasing institutional and public Bitcoin demand. While $588.5 million inflows were recorded in US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs on June 24 alone, $71 million was reportedly invested in Ethereum funds. Total inflows for all ETF products exceeded $4 billion.

In addition, a Japanese company announced that it will grow its own Bitcoin reserve strategy with $514 million in proceeds from its shares. US states such as Arizona, Ohio and Texas have also begun taking steps to allocate public funds to Bitcoin reserves. These developments towards the acceptance of Bitcoin as a national reserve asset strengthen the long-term legitimacy of the asset.

The BTC price staying above $105,000 has created a significant transformation in market psychology. This level has now evolved into a strong support point. The narrowing of the widely followed Bollinger Bands indicates that volatility may increase again. This is considered a signal that the next big move in Bitcoin price is approaching.

According to analyst estimates, BTC may target the $120,000 to $125,000 range in the third and fourth quarters of 2025. Famous market analyst Tom Lee points to $150,000 to $250,000 levels for the end of the year. On-chain data supports the positive atmosphere with 23 million active addresses and the Crypto Fear and Risk Appetite Index settling in the "Greed" zone.

The short-term easing of geopolitical tension in global markets and the Fed's expected interest rate cut process increase the likelihood of BTC reaching new peaks in the coming months. However, the possible effects of external developments such as Iran-Israel tensions will continue to be closely monitored.