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Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly sh

In the cryptocurrency market, BTC exhibited a clear pullback followed by weak consolidation last week. After briefly rallying to around $76,000 midweek, the price quickly retraced. ETH climbed to a midweek high of $2,385 before giving back most of its gains. Among altcoins, SIREN was the standout performer of the cycle, posting gains of approximately 169.56%. Over the past week, on-chain capital flows exhibited a clear one-way trend, with liquidity moving decisively toward Hyperliquid, while Arbitrum emerged as the primary source of outflows. Meanwhile, Polymarket saw rapid revenue growth, with monthly fees surpassing $5 million, underscoring the commercial viability and cash flow potential of prediction markets.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 24, the crypto market as a whole entered a corrective rebound phase. BTC and ETH strengthened in tandem, but the Fear and Greed Index remained in the Extreme Fear zone. The current recovery is still primarily capital-driven, and market sentiment has not fully warmed up. On the market board, ANON, CSPR, and LIGHT ranked as the top three gainers among assets with a market cap exceeding 10 million USD, corresponding respectively to the three niche sectors of AI DeFi assistants, enterprise-grade public chains, and Bitcoin infrastructure. Incremental funds are conducting structural rotations around high-recognition themes. At the industry level, the partnership between Deloitte Canada and Stablecorp, Nasdaq’s tokenized collateral integration with Talos, and the on-chain risk control collaboration between Bluprynt and Kroll show that institutional-grade infrastructure such as stablecoins, collateral management, and compliance trust layers continues to advance steadily.

In February 2026, the on-chain ecosystem exhibited more pronounced structural divergence amid price pressure. On-chain activity did not contract in tandem, but instead became further concentrated on high-frequency and high-efficiency networks. Solana maintained its dominance in high-frequency activity, while Base and Polygon continued to expand. Arbitrum saw a recovery in activity, but its capital retention and value capture weakened. Ethereum shifted from net outflows to significant net inflows, reinforcing its role as the primary settlement layer and a key hub for macro asset deployment. On the BTC side, the price pullback pushed short-term holders broadly into unrealized losses, with profit-taking cooling and sell pressure still concentrated among short-term positions, while the long-term holder structure remained intact. At the sector level, AI Agent, supply-side shocks, and institutional DeFi narratives coexisted. Short-term returns were driven by structural catalysts, while mid-term allocation continued

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 23, the rebound in BTC and ETH failed to sustain upward momentum, with capital returning to defensive positioning and overall risk appetite remaining subdued. Altcoins did not see broad-based expansion, and market opportunities were mainly concentrated in short-term rotation across high-volatility sectors. SIREN, BR, and BANANAS31 respectively represent active capital flows in the AI Agent, BTCFi, and BNB Chain meme segments. At the industry level, tokenized gold is progressing toward a standardized infrastructure phase, while connections between payment networks and capital market infrastructure continue to deepen. Meanwhile, competition in the stablecoin space is gradually shifting from issuance to treasury and capital management capabilities.

Gate Research: Large language models and AI agent technologies are pushing trading systems into a new stage of development. Quantitative trading, which previously relied heavily on programming skills and complex engineering systems, is gradually evolving into product forms with much lower barriers to entry. Gate has introduced products such as AI Quant Workspace and Gate for AI, which aim to integrate strategy generation, backtesting, and automated execution within a single platform through natural language interaction, no-code quant tools, and unified trading interfaces, allowing more users to participate in strategy trading. As AI technology continues to mature, trading platforms are also evolving from traditional matching tools into AI-driven trading infrastructure.

In February, the overall crypto market showed a weak trend, with notable outflows from BTC ETFs. Major blockchains remained stable throughout the month, with Solana leading by a wide margin at over 100 million daily transactions. Ethereum recorded 13.34 million unique active addresses, maintaining its second-highest level in history. TradFi trading volume on Perp DEXs surged to $47.3 billion, largely driven by Hyperliquid’s HIP-3. The Web3 sector completed 46 funding rounds totaling $986 million, with the top 10 projects accounting for $793 million—three major deals were led by Tether. Meanwhile, Web3 security incidents declined significantly month-over-month, though smart contract vulnerabilities remained the primary risk source.

Gate Research Institute: Over the past 24 hours, BTC briefly climbed above $71,000, but following a sharp drop and quick rebound during the U.S. market session, it settled back near $69,300. ETH rapidly declined from $2,070 to $2,010 and remains in a recovery phase. Altcoins showed weakness, with most lagging behind BTC, while the Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear range. HUMA, NAORIS, and ARIA saw gains of 50.13%, 39.38%, and 29.02%, respectively, fueled by AI-related narratives. Additionally, Oracle’s earnings beat expectations, driving its share price up nearly 8% after hours, and both Hyperliquid and Circle announced significant product updates.

Gate Research: The depreciation of the USD is the result of long-term shifts in real purchasing power, fiscal dynamics, and real interest rates. Regulatory constraints within the traditional banking system have created offshore demand for dollars, which stablecoins are increasingly absorbing. The quality of collateral, transparency, and issuer credibility are becoming the key determinants of stablecoins’ price stability, liquidity priority, and long-term capital preference. Looking ahead to 2026, stablecoins are more likely to function as a “reservoir” and distribution layer for dollars, with their reserve-driven demand for short-term treasuries in turn beginning to influence the dollar’s own pricing structure.

Following the joint U.S.–Israel airstrikes on Iran, gold and crude oil gapped higher at Monday’s open, while global equities opened lower and Bitcoin volatility intensified. Prediction markets suggest that the probability of a full-scale war remains relatively low, though the risk of disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz is not negligible. If tensions ease on a temporary basis, commodity prices could see a meaningful pullback. Conversely, further escalation would raise the risk of another sharp surge in gold and oil prices. Bitcoin may face near-term pressure, with its medium-term trajectory likely dependent on global liquidity conditions. Gate has now launched trading segments covering metals, equities, indices, foreign exchange, and commodities. Through Gate TradFi, investors can access 24/7 trading to respond swiftly to market developments and capture emerging opportunities.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 2, the crypto market continued to trade in a high-volatility consolidation pattern, with BTC repeatedly fluctuating within the $66,000–$67,000 range and ETH rebounding but still in the process of trend confirmation, as overall risk appetite kept contracting. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East heightened macro uncertainty, driving gains in oil and gold, while the Fear & Greed Index fell to 10. Structurally, clear divergence emerged among small-cap and thematic assets: SYND surged on exchange incentives and ecosystem partnership catalysts, ARC strengthened amid renewed AI narrative rotation, and CFG attracted buying interest following its listing on a Korean exchange. On the industry front, X lifted its ban on paid crypto promotions while tightening disclosure requirements, SpaceX advanced its IPO plans and disclosed holdings of 8,285 BTC, and Vitalik noted that AI is significantly accelerating Ethereum’s development process, underscoring that innovation and

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 27, BTC rebounded after a sharp drop to $62,501 and is now consolidating above $67,000; ETH recovered from the $1,800 level and is holding near $2,020 in a high-level range; GT is showing a rebound-driven consolidation structure; POWER led the market with a +113.53% surge, while small-cap tokens such as DENT and RAVE also posted strong gains. A suspected insider earned over $411,000 on Polymarket by betting on ZachXBT’s allegations against Axiom; claims that Jane Street “manipulated the 10 a.m. Bitcoin dump” lack data support, with analysts pointing instead to ETF authorized participant mechanics; Circle shares broke above $90, with analysts saying the stock has “clearly decoupled” from broader crypto trends, as applications like Polymarket are seen as new growth drivers for USDC.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC has reclaimed $65,000 but remains capped by resistance at $66,000–$68,500, with prices likely to range between $60,000 and $70,000 in the near term. ETH has moved back above $2,000 but continues to trade within a descending channel, facing resistance at $2,050–$2,150. Altcoin sentiment has improved, though the broader market remains in “extreme fear.” CRYPTOBURG surged on exchange listing and airdrop expectations, while MBX and POWER gained on trading momentum and speculative flows. Nvidia’s Q4 revenue rose 73% year-over-year, reinforcing the AI narrative; Bitcoin funding rates turned negative, and short liquidations intensified positioning dynamics; Jane Street faces insider trading allegations, sparking regulatory debate. This week’s focus includes ZachXBT’s investigative report, Ethereum’s seven-fork Strawmap roadmap, and Circle’s better-than-expected earnings. Next week, watch for unlock pressure from SUI, JUP, and GRASS.

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 25, the crypto market saw a technical rebound, but overall conditions remain range-bound and largely driven by market sentiment, with BTC and ETH showing short-term recovery while medium-term direction remains unclear. Capital continues to rotate into high-narrative assets, with ENSO, ESP, and POWER strengthening on catalysts tied to cross-chain execution infrastructure, unified interaction layers, and funding tailwinds, respectively. Structurally, Ethereum RWA market capitalization has surpassed $15 billion, signaling accelerating real-world asset tokenization, while Gate continues to укрепen its spot and derivatives market share and advance TradFi and AI trading features—highlighting infrastructure build-out and compliance as key medium- to long-term themes.

Gate Research Daily Report: Affected by factors including Trump’s proposed 15% global tariffs, Bitcoin lacks strong upward momentum. Ethereum continues to consolidate near its 20-day low, with multiple momentum indicators still pointing to a weak market structure. PIPPIN rose 16.62%, mainly driven by strong speculative buying and community momentum. POWER gained 12.05%, largely fueled by leveraged trading activity. Anthropic’s announcement on automating COBOL system modernization triggered an 11% drop in IBM’s share price. ZachXBT is set to release a major investigation, with prediction markets and Trump-related projects expected to face scrutiny. Vitalik sold 10,700 ETH this month at an average price of $2,027, drawing market attention.