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Crypto_Xincheng
vip
Age 4.5 Year
Peak Tier 5
Sustainable Profitability
This week mainly focuses on these 3 things:
1. CPI for October to be released on Thursday, November 13
The US government is currently in the longest shutdown in history, but CPI is too important, and the Department of Labor is likely to release it on time.
2. Retail Sales and PPI for October to be released on Friday, November 14
Retail sales reflect consumption, while PPI reflects production costs. Data shows consumption is slowing but not collapsing, and PPI remains moderate.
3. The biggest macro risk – government shutdown
The shutdown started on October 1 and has lasted 35 days. About
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11.8
BTC
The strategy given to everyone yesterday was that if it doesn't break 100,000, it will trigger a small rebound. Yesterday, it nearly touched 100,000 before bouncing back, leading to a small rebound. Currently, the market is volatile, bouncing up and down. The current approach remains the same: do not break 100,000. If it holds, there’s a chance to test the 106,000 level. If it cannot stabilize at 106,000, it will once again test the bottom. Overall, it will fluctuate around 100,000 to 106,000. Over the weekend, the focus is likely to be on repair, as the current market is just small f
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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November 7
BTC
From both the weekly and daily perspectives, the large correction wave has not been fully completed. It’s also unlikely to support a significant short-term rally. Therefore, intraday, watch for a potential secondary bottom on the four-hour chart; as long as it doesn’t break below 100,000, there’s a chance for a small rebound. If the rebound fails to break above 106,300, the downward trend may resume. In the short term, expect mainly sideways movement with support levels at 100,000, 97,600, and 95,000, and resistance levels at 102,800, 104,500, and 106,300.
ETH
Ethereum is simila
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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11.6
Yesterday's rise in the risk market led many to believe it was because the U.S. government shutdown was about to end, but there is currently no clear information indicating that the two parties have reached a consensus. A more likely driving factor is that the probability of the Supreme Court upholding Trump's global tariffs has dropped to 29%. If the tariffs are ruled illegal, American companies will face lower supply chain costs, improved profits, and alleviated inflation pressure, which will be most beneficial for industries such as technology, semiconductors, and cross-border
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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Why has Bitcoin continued to fall since the U.S. government shutdown?
On the surface, this process is influenced by the escalation of the China-US conflict, leading to a fall in prices. The fall in prices has awakened people's doubts about the end of the 4-year cycle, resulting in a defensive rather than an offensive stance, and naturally, market sentiment cannot improve.
However, the deeper reason relates to the real liquidity of funds.
The U.S. government shutdown has lasted more than a month now. During this period of government shutdown, how has the funding in the U.S. financial system
BTC2.71%
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The recent market conditions have been really tough. The AI Cryptocurrency Trading competition just ended, and even DeepSeek only made a 5% profit. Many AI models have lost everything. The greed index has fallen to over 20! Should we be greedy now, or follow the fear?
Looking to the future, there are several factors
(1) The U.S. government shutdown now has a turning point, as senior officials from both parties have released signals for a restart for the first time.
The US government has been shut down for more than a month now, and it is expected to resume operations by mid-November. One of th
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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$SOL SOL made me miss the entire bull run, it's about to big dump📉
This morning I sold all my 1000 Sol. Please forgive me for being bullish on Sol before; I regret it now, holding Sol I missed the entire bull run. 😭
Although his ETF has been approved, not all products that pass the ETF can bring liquidity to their products.
$SOL From the monthly chart, the rebound to the previous high around 240 did not break through this level, which can be understood as an upward rebound and also a distribution of chips. Why is SOL not moving up currently? It is being suppressed at the monthly level.
SOL5.72%
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This week, follow three things:
1 Can the China-U.S. trade agreement be signed?
When will the US government resume work?
Will the 3 ADP non-farm data affect the market?
China-US trade
If signed, the market is favorable; if not signed, we will see the follow-up negotiation arrangements.
Government shutdown
On the 34th day of the shutdown, Trump proposed last week to weaken the parliamentary obstruction procedures, but some within the party opposed it. Over the weekend, Trump softened his stance and expressed willingness to talk. There's a chance to resume work this week, and once it resumes
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11.3
November 7
It is not yet confirmed whether the new non-farm payroll data will be released this Friday.
On October 31, 2025, overnight repurchase agreements suddenly surged to 29.4 billion dollars. For the past few years, this figure has been almost consistently close to zero until this year when a significant jump began to occur, and the frequency and scale of recent surges have been increasing.
Generally, this kind of change indicates that there is short-term dollar liquidity pressure in the funding market, and banks or institutions need cash, so they can only pledge government bonds to
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
SOL5.72%
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11.1
BTC
A new month has begun. Since 2013, Bitcoin's average return in November has been +42.49%, with a median return of +8.81%. In the past 12 years, November has seen 8 increases and 4 declines. Additionally, since 2016, Ethereum's average return in November has been +7.08%, with a median return of +3.94%. In the past 9 years, November has seen 5 increases and 4 declines. The overall idea for Bitcoin at the current position remains unchanged; as long as it doesn't break 106500, there is an opportunity. If it breaks, the adjustment time cycle of this wave will be extended. Curre
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
SOL5.72%
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10.31
Key data:
1) In the past 24 hours, over 1 billion dollars worth of long positions have been forcibly liquidated;
2) Bitcoin fell below the 200-day moving average (200 EMA);
3) Investors are worried about a repeat of the situation in 2019 when BTC plummeted by 35% after the Federal Reserve ended QT.
State the reason:
Don't be confused! The fact that there is no rise and instead a partial drop is a typical characteristic of insufficient liquidity after the 1011 crash:
The market originally expected "interest rate cuts + liquidity injection," but the result was only "interest rate cuts
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
SOL5.72%
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GateUser-f6cb612evip:
Hold on tight, we're about to To da moon 🛫
10.30
In the early morning, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and hinted at stopping the balance sheet reduction in December, but the market reacted mildly. The performance of the US stock market was decent, while Bitcoin continued to decline. The October rate cut had already been priced in, and investors' expectations for another rate cut in December were suppressed by Powell's remarks, especially since he made it clear that rates would not be lowered further unless unemployment rose significantly. Although there are internal disagreements, the
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
SOL5.72%
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10.27
October 27
Hong Kong's first Solana exchange-traded fund "Huaxia Solana ETF" has been approved and is expected to be listed on October 27.
October 30
The Federal Reserve announced a new interest rate decision, and Powell held a press conference.
BTC
In recent days, the market has been emphasizing the need to pay attention to the four-hour level rebound. Currently, after a period of correction, we have seen a four-hour level rebound as expected. Looking ahead, the focus is on whether the price can stabilize at the 116000 level. If it can stabilize there, it will challenge the range of
ETH5.37%
BTC2.71%
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10.24
Market sentiment has begun to stabilize, primarily due to two things: one is that the top leaders of China and the United States will meet in Malaysia on October 30, and the outcome of the meeting will directly impact the tariffs on November 1. There is a high probability it will be TACO. The weekly report has also analyzed this; although everyone is speaking harshly, high tariffs are not good for either China or the U.S., especially for the current Chinese side, as the troubles will be greater. Trump's goal is to open up some rare earth resources.
Another thing is that Trump pardone
ETH5.37%
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Will SOL be able to rise this round? Can it reach 300 USD each?
Institutional funds are the most important supporting force for this round of SOL. The open interest of Solana futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) reached a historical high of $2.16 billion at the beginning of October, while the total assets under management of Solana's exchange-traded products (ETP) also exceeded $500 million. This indicates that large investors are actively positioning themselves, and their actions are generally more forward-looking.
Next, whether SOL can rise, we need to pay attention to severa
SOL5.72%
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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Will this round of Crypto Assets bull run see a comprehensive rise in alt season?
Let's first take a look at its underlying logic:
1⃣ The funding path has changed: The previous model was "Bitcoin rises sharply → profits are realized → influx into altcoins." In this cycle, stablecoins have become an important incremental funding vehicle, allowing funds to directly purchase altcoins without necessarily going through Bitcoin first. At the same time, institutional funds are entering through compliant channels such as Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, and their preferences are very concentrated,
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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Is the crypto bull run still ongoing?
First, we need to know who is the driving force behind this bull run.
Unlike previous bull runs mainly driven by retail investors and speculative sentiment, the core driving force of this cycle has changed:
1⃣ Institutional capital becomes the main force: The market's pricing logic has shifted from technical narratives to macro liquidity and institutional capital. The approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF and Ethereum ETF in the United States has opened a compliant channel for traditional financial capital to enter the crypto world, attracting massive capit
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
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10.22
The war between Russia and Ukraine is expected to come to an end, which is a significant positive for global inflation, especially in the United States. Last night, gold experienced a pullback of about 5%. If the war ends, the environment will naturally weaken its anti-inflation investment properties. If a ceasefire is achieved, the pressure on energy and food prices will be significantly eased. Meanwhile, Sino-U.S. relations have once again become tense, and Trump's erratic statements have undermined market confidence. The Nasdaq, which was originally just a step away from a histori
BTC2.71%
ETH5.37%
SOL5.72%
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