LTC price prediction: The ETF only raised 6 million, and if it breaks support, it could fall to 80 USD.

The Litecoin ETF has only attracted 6 million USD in assets nearly 20 days after its launch, becoming one of the worst-performing altcoin ETFs of the year. LTC price predictions indicate that, as the dumping seems to be accelerating, LTC may test the 80 USD region again. If Litecoin falls below 90 USD, it will be heading towards this target, which implies a 13% downside risk.

LTC ETF's dismal failure exposes attraction crisis

(Source: Canary Capital)

The market waited for months for the Litecoin (LTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF), but now that it is online, Wall Street seems to be rather uninterested. Canary Capital received approval for the first Litecoin ETF just before and after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, in just 20 days, this fund raised only a mere $6.3 million, making it one of the worst-performing altcoin ETFs of the year.

Funds related to XRP and Solana have already attracted hundreds of millions of dollars, highlighting the market's lack of interest in Litecoin as an investment. This stark contrast reveals the core issue in LTC price predictions: institutional investors are not optimistic about Litecoin's long-term value. The XRP ETF and SOL ETF saw a significant influx of capital shortly after their launch, indicating that institutions have confidence in the fundamentals and growth potential of these assets. In contrast, the dismal performance of the Litecoin ETF suggests that even with convenient investment tools available, institutions remain reluctant to allocate to Litecoin.

This indifferent attitude may stem from multiple factors. First, Litecoin lacks highlights in technological innovation. As the “lightweight version” of Bitcoin, Litecoin's positioning was meaningful when it was launched in 2011, but it has become outdated in the crypto ecosystem of 2025. Solana attracts DeFi and NFT applications with high throughput and low transaction fees, XRP focuses on cross-border payments and collaborates with financial institutions, while Litecoin has neither unique technological advantages nor clear application scenarios.

Secondly, the community activity and developer ecosystem of Litecoin are far behind other mainstream coins. Indicators such as commit frequency on GitHub, the number of active wallet addresses, and on-chain transaction volume show that Litecoin is clearly lagging behind competitors like Ethereum, Solana, and even Avalanche. This lack of a vibrant ecosystem makes it difficult to convince institutional investors to make long-term allocations.

The worsening macro environment intensifies selling pressure

Powell's remarks in late October caused panic among market participants as he questioned the feasibility of a third interest rate cut in December. This triggered a wave of massive liquidations, with nearly $4 billion worth of long positions disappearing from the market in just the past 7 days. The start of the altcoin season has actually been affected by a series of unfavorable macroeconomic factors, including U.S. President Donald Trump's hostile stance towards China in trade.

Combined with the changes in the Federal Reserve's dot plot, this year, apart from BNB Coin and Ethereum, other tokens may not reach historical highs. This macro environment is extremely unfavorable for LTC price predictions, as Litecoin, being a mid-cap altcoin, tends to be the first to suffer when market risk appetite declines.

The daily chart shows that after the ETF was listed, the price once plummeted to $80. A few days later, the price rebounded to $111, but due to the continued sluggish market sentiment, it is now once again approaching that support area. In the past 24 hours, trading volume surged by 12%, currently accounting for 11% of Litecoin's circulating market capitalization, confirming the strong momentum of the recent wave of dumping.

The surge in trading volume can typically be interpreted in two ways: either new funds are entering the market driving the price up, or panic selling is accelerating. From the price trend, the current increase in trading volume clearly belongs to the latter. A large number of holders are choosing to exit near $95, and if this selling pressure continues, it will soon test the key support level of $90.

The technical analysis is comprehensively bearish with dual confirmation from RSI and moving averages

(Source: Trading View)

The relative strength index (RSI) of LTC has fallen below the 14-day moving average, indicating that its negative momentum is accelerating. The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price movements; when the RSI crosses below its moving average, it typically signifies that selling pressure is increasing. This is a clear bearish signal for LTC price predictions.

In the future, it is important to closely monitor the 200-day exponential moving average as this key resistance level. As long as the price is below this line, it indicates that the dominant trend is downward. The 200-day EMA is one of the most important long-term trend indicators in technical analysis, representing the average cost over the past 200 trading days. When the price is below the 200-day EMA, it means that long-term holders are generally in a state of loss, and the market lacks strong buying support.

If Litecoin falls to $80 again (as it did recently), it means there is a 13% risk of a price drop in the coming days. At the same time, the market's lack of interest in Litecoin ETF may be interpreted as a signal of weak interest from institutional investors, which could have a significant impact on the long-term performance of the token.

Three Bearish Signals on LTC Technical Analysis

RSI falls below the 14-day moving average: Momentum shifts from positive to negative, selling pressure accelerates.

Price below 200-day EMA: Long-term trend is bearish, lacking structural support.

Increased trading volume with a fall: Panic selling rather than a normal correction

From a lower time frame perspective, the price has just fallen below the previous support area of $93. If LTC attempts to rebound in the coming days, this area may now turn into a resistance level. This phenomenon of “support turning into resistance” is extremely common in technical analysis. Once a key support level is effectively breached, a large number of stop-loss orders are triggered, accumulating a significant amount of trapped positions at this price level, creating a new concentration of selling pressure.

90 dollar death line and 80 dollar target

(Source: Trading View)

From the hourly chart, the $90 level may provide support in the short term, but a trend reversal seems unlikely as the downward momentum has accelerated. $90 is a psychological barrier where many investors will set buy orders or stop-loss orders at this round number. If LTC falls to this level and finds support, a short-term technical rebound may occur. However, this rebound is likely to be a “dead cat bounce,” lacking sustainability.

Only if Litecoin returns to the $93 range in the next few days can we confirm the trend reversal. However, if it falls below $90, the trend reversal will be a certainty, and Litecoin is expected to reach $80 in a few days. This LTC price prediction path is very clear: $90 is the last line of defense, and once it is breached, the path to $80 will be unobstructed.

$80 is not an arbitrary target level, but rather an objective analysis based on historical price structure. After the ETF was launched, LTC briefly touched $80, and this price level represents a key recent low. In technical analysis, prior lows often become targets for subsequent adjustments, as the market tends to test previous lows. Additionally, there may be some limit buy orders around $80, and these potential buying pressures will provide support when the price reaches that level.