XRP Whales Accumulate: On-Chain Signals Point to Rebound After October 2025's Market Crash

In the aftermath of October 2025's brutal crypto market crash—the largest single-day wipeout at $19.1 billion in liquidations—XRP whales are making bold moves, snapping up 1.04 billion tokens worth $2.54 billion at current prices, signaling confidence in a swift recovery. The plunge, triggered by U.S.-China trade escalations including Trump's 100% tariff threats, saw XRP drop 37% from $2.83 to $1.77 before rebounding to $2.44—a 38% snapback. Unlike spot-driven sell-offs, this was a derivatives-led panic, with overleveraged longs purged amid thin liquidity. As BTC stabilizes at $115,100 and ETH at $4,138, XRP's whale activity underscores a shift from fear to accumulation, per Santiment data, potentially setting up a 54% rally akin to May's pattern.

Crash Context: Derivatives Panic, Not Spot Capitulation

The October 10 rout synced with Nasdaq's 3.6% slide, as tariffs threatened supply chains for mining hardware and tech. XRP's fall was mechanical: $7 billion liquidated in hours, mostly longs, with no exchange supply spikes—remaining flat over the month. Wyckoff Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) shows a red bar of full selling control during peak liquidations, transitioning to yellow as pressure eased, mirroring May's setup that preceded a 54% surge from $1.77 lows.

  • Price Path: $2.83 high > $1.77 low > $2.44 recovery (down 14% 24h, 20% weekly).
  • Liquidation Scale: $19.1B total; XRP perps hit hard on breaks below $2.28 support.
  • On-Chain Stability: No spot dumps; exchange balances unchanged.

Whale Strategy: $2.54B Accumulation at the Dip

Whales (wallets >1B XRP) boosted holdings from 23.98B to 25.02B tokens post-crash, adding 1.04B XRP via OTC deals or swaps—avoiding on-chain noise. This "strong hands absorbing weak hands" play positions for upside, with no major outflows. Analysts note it's typical bottom-fishing: Whales capitalize on sentiment crashes without fundamentals shifting—XRP's Ripple ecosystem and cross-border utility remain intact.

  • Value Added: $2.54B at $2.44; 4.3% whale supply increase.
  • Tactic Insight: OTC buys evade slippage; historical patterns favor 50%+ rebounds.
  • Broader Echo: Similar to ETH whale grabs ($480M post-dip).

Price Implications: Bullish Divergence Eyes $2.82

XRP's 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $2.44 holds as support, with VSA projecting $2.74+ on a close above $2.43. Bull case: $2.59 initial target, then $2.82 resistance for 15-30% gains. Bear risk: Below $2.28 eyes $2.05. Santiment's stable supply reinforces no capitulation—panic flushed, whales loaded.

  • Bull Targets: $2.59 short-term; $2.82 on momentum.
  • Bear Invalid: <$2.28 tests $2.05 lows.
  • Expert Nod: "Sentiment washout sets recovery"—Santiment analysts.

Trading Guide: Positioning for the Snapback

Batch $2.30-2.20 dips for swings, avg $2.25, 5% stop, target $2.59. Aggressive: 3x longs above $2.43 for $2.74 fast out; add on $2.50 steady. HODL weekly close >$2.44; scale 30% at +10%, hedge stables below 3% daily close.

In summary, XRP whales' $2.54B dip-buy post-crash signals rebound strength—secure via multi-sig wallets on compliant DEXs, ladder buys, and monitor VSA. In October 2025's thaw, accumulation turns turmoil to triumph.

XRP4.18%
BTC0.71%
ETH1.66%
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