Research

Gate Options Daily Market Update.

Gate Research: On January 14, the crypto market rallied broadly as macro sentiment improved and risk appetite recovered. Bitcoin surged and then consolidated at elevated levels, while Ethereum outperformed to lead the move, with other major assets rising in tandem. Among the day’s top movers, BOT spiked on the back of AI trading-tool narratives and speculative flows; MFER gained as the meme sector rebounded and capital rotated; and ARRR drew attention amid a renewed privacy narrative and a broader upswing across privacy coins. In key highlights, Gate expanded its TradFi derivatives offering by adding CFD access to gold, FX, indices, and other traditional assets, further strengthening its multi-asset suite; Wintermute outlined three potential catalysts for an altcoin rebound in 2026; and Polygon Labs announced the acquisition of Coinme and Sequence for over $250 million to accelerate the rollout of its compliant stablecoin payments “open stack.”

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 14, the crypto market posted broad gains as macro sentiment improved. Bitcoin surged before consolidating at elevated levels, while Ethereum outperformed and held around the $3,300 area. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index rebounded sharply from 26 yesterday to 48, signaling renewed risk appetite and a rotation toward higher-beta assets, while gold continued to climb. Among notable movers, BOT spiked on AI trading-tool narratives and speculative inflows; MFER rose alongside a meme-sector rebound; and ARRR drew attention amid a revival in privacy narratives. In this edition’s Alpha takeaways, we highlight Gate’s expanded TradFi derivatives offering with CFD access to a wider range of traditional assets, Wintermute’s three potential catalysts for a 2026 altcoin rebound, and Polygon Labs’ $250M+ acquisition of Coinme and Sequence to accelerate the rollout of its compliant stablecoin payments “open stack.”

Gate Research:BTC has entered a consolidation and recovery phase after pulling back from recent highs, while ETH has significantly outperformed most altcoins over the past week. Gate has expanded its TradFi offerings by enabling CFD trading on traditional financial assets, including gold, foreign exchange, indices, commodities, and selected popular stocks. On-chain capital is increasingly flowing toward trading-oriented networks, with Perp DEXs emerging as the key driver. Hyperliquid and Ink recorded the highest net inflows among public chains. On the technology front, StarkNet, leveraging its high performance and verifiable execution capabilities, has become one of the core technology stacks for Perp DEXs. It helps on-chain derivatives evolve toward exchange-grade infrastructure.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin is showing a short-term range-bound upward trend, while Ethereum continues to hold firmly above $3,000, with its overall uptrend still intact. Driven by WLFI’s launch of a lending market powered by Dolomite, DOLO surged over 55%; Dusk rose more than 28% on positive momentum from the DuskDS Layer-1 upgrade; and DASH climbed about 18% following an oversold-driven rebound. The amount of ETH queued to join the Ethereum PoS network has risen to 2.17 million, reflecting strong market confidence in Ethereum’s long-term staking yields and network security. The current period represents a critical window for the passage of the Clarity Act, as failure to reach consensus could increase the risk of delays or outright failure.

Gate Research: On January 12, the crypto market continued its low-level recovery, showing a mild rebound while overall risk appetite remained cautious. BTC stabilized and reclaimed its short-term moving averages, signaling a partial repair in short-term structure, though upside momentum is still constrained by overhead resistance. ETH remained relatively resilient, maintaining a low-volatility recovery pattern and reflecting its role as a more defensive allocation within the market. On the thematic side, XCN, ARC, and VVV outperformed, driven by narratives around DeFi governance, AI agent tooling, and privacy-focused inference applications. From a structural perspective, the recent pullback in Bitcoin mining difficulty has eased pressure on the mining sector, while Ethereum recorded nearly USD 50 billion in net inflows over the past year, underscoring continued long-term capital accumulation in core assets amid market consolidation. However, the sustainability of the rebound will likely depend on a pickup in

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 12, the crypto market continued its low-level recovery, showing a mild rebound while overall risk appetite remained cautious. BTC stabilized and reclaimed its short-term moving averages, signaling a partial repair in short-term structure, though upside momentum is still constrained by overhead resistance. ETH remained relatively resilient, maintaining a low-volatility recovery pattern and reflecting its role as a more defensive allocation within the market. On the thematic side, XCN, ARC, and VVV outperformed, driven by narratives around DeFi governance, AI agent tooling, and privacy-focused inference applications. From a structural perspective, the recent pullback in Bitcoin mining difficulty has eased pressure on the mining sector, while Ethereum recorded nearly USD 50 billion in net inflows over the past year, underscoring continued long-term capital accumulation in core assets amid market consolidation. However, the sustainability of the rebound will likely depend on

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 9, BTC first extended its previous rally and surged rapidly, forming a short-term peak near 94,800 USDT. ETH also continued its earlier uptrend and pushed higher, topping out around 3,308 USDT, before bullish momentum weakened significantly and prices retreated from the highs, gradually developing into a relatively smooth downward move. Meanwhile, ISLM became the market’s standout performer with a gain of over 460%. On the macro and industry front, JPMorgan is accelerating its blockchain strategy and plans to build a “regulated, interoperable digital money” system. Hilbert Group announced the acquisition of Enigma Nordic for $25 million, further strengthening its institutional-grade crypto trading presence. In addition, a company linked to Tether executives drew market attention after acquiring Northern Data’s bitcoin mining business.

In December 2025, on-chain activity across public blockchains slowed and structural divergence deepened. Solana and Ethereum remained at the core of the ecosystem, while internal differentiation within Layer2 networks became more pronounced, as the market shifted from narrative-driven positioning toward efficiency and real-use-case selection. For Bitcoin, an assessment of cost basis distribution, unrealized loss supply, and holder structure indicates that the market is undergoing a cyclical pullback and rebalancing phase within a broader bull trend. While short-term pressure persists, long-term holders remain largely stable; if key cost support levels hold, prices may gradually recover following a period of consolidation. At the project level, trading volume in the BSC prediction-market sector continued to expand, but liquidity remained highly concentrated in Opinion, with newer platforms still in early validation stages. At the token level, $BEAT recorded a peak gain of nearly 300% during the period, driven

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 9, BTC first extended its previous rally and surged rapidly, forming a short-term peak near 94,800 USDT. ETH also continued its earlier uptrend and pushed higher, topping out around 3,308 USDT, before bullish momentum weakened significantly and prices retreated from the highs, gradually developing into a relatively smooth downward move. Meanwhile, ISLM became the market’s standout performer with a gain of over 460%. On the macro and industry front, JPMorgan is accelerating its blockchain strategy and plans to build a “regulated, interoperable digital money” system. Hilbert Group announced the acquisition of Enigma Nordic for $25 million, further strengthening its institutional-grade crypto trading presence. In addition, a company linked to Tether executives drew market attention after acquiring Northern Data’s bitcoin mining business.

Gate Research: BTC and ETH remain in a consolidation and recovery phase, with no confirmed trend reversal, while capital continues to rotate toward low-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays. Aave Horizon’s RWA market has surpassed $600 million in net deposits, signaling sustained institutional participation. Tokenized stocks have exceeded $1 billion in assets under management, underscoring the accelerating expansion of on-chain securities.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH remain in a consolidation and recovery phase, with no confirmed trend reversal, while capital continues to rotate toward low-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays. Aave Horizon’s RWA market has surpassed $600 million in net deposits, signaling sustained institutional participation. Tokenized stocks have exceeded $1 billion in assets under management, underscoring the accelerating expansion of on-chain securities. Nike has sold RTFKT, marking a phase-end unwind of its Web3 initiatives. Polymarket has introduced real estate prediction markets, further extending coverage into real-economy variables. Meanwhile, CONX, APT, and STRK are set to unlock approximately $25.23 million, $21.26 million, and $11.10 million in tokens, respectively, over the next seven days.

Gate Research: On January 7, the crypto market remained under pressure and traded in a consolidative manner, with risk appetite staying defensive. BTC pulled back from recent highs and moved into range-bound consolidation, with short-term momentum easing while the medium-term structure remains intact; ETH showed relatively resilient performance. On the thematic side, DSYNC, FHE, and XPLA posted strong gains, driven by narratives around AI agents, privacy computing, and Web3 gaming/IP co-creation. Structurally, new highs in Aave Horizon’s RWA borrowing, record Polygon PoS fee burns, and multiple Solana metrics reaching record levels in 2025 stand out as key fundamental positives, though the sustainability of the broader trend still depends on continued sentiment stabilization and the materialization of incremental catalysts.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 7, the crypto market remained under pressure and traded in a consolidative manner, with risk appetite staying defensive. BTC pulled back from recent highs and moved into range-bound consolidation, with short-term momentum easing while the medium-term structure remains intact; ETH showed relatively resilient performance. On the thematic side, DSYNC, FHE, and XPLA posted strong gains, driven by narratives around AI agents, privacy computing, and Web3 gaming/IP co-creation. Structurally, new highs in Aave Horizon’s RWA borrowing, record Polygon PoS fee burns, and multiple Solana metrics reaching record levels in 2025 stand out as key fundamental positives, though the sustainability of the broader trend still depends on continued sentiment stabilization and the materialization of incremental catalysts.

Gate Research: BTC has stabilized again on the 4-hour timeframe, with a clear upside structure in place. Overall price action points to a mild and orderly recovery. ETH's catch-up move is gradually taking shape, with a noticeably steeper trend slope than BTC. Supported by returning capital inflows, its upside pace has continued to accelerate. Capital flows across public blockchains are showing clear divergence. More conservative, allocation-oriented capital is rotating back into core settlement layers, led by Ethereum. Base, as a user onboarding and asset distribution layer, is also seeing sustained net inflows. Polymarket Builders trading volume has reached a new all-time high, further strengthening the head effect. The increase in trading activity is mainly concentrated in a small number of mature tools, including betmoar.