The Profound Impact of Bitcoin Halving: From History to Future Trends

7/25/2025, 2:39:47 AM
Beginner
Quick Reads
Bitcoin halving, which takes place every four years, marks a major milestone in the cryptocurrency market as it changes supply dynamics and influences price trends. This report analyzes the implications of the upcoming halving, considering the latest price trends and the recent $2 billion investment by Trump Media. It also discusses investment strategies.

What Is Bitcoin Halving?

Bitcoin halving occurs when the block reward miners receive is reduced by half every time 210,000 blocks are mined. Originally programmed into the protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto, this mechanism is designed to control the rate of Bitcoin’s supply growth, ultimately capping the total at 21 million coins. The most recent halving took place in April 2024, reducing the reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. The next halving is projected for around 2028.

Impact of Halving on Supply and Price

The halving event reduces the number of new BTC entering the market, significantly lowering the incoming supply. If demand holds steady or rises, the resulting supply shock typically supports higher prices in the short term. Meanwhile, miners face greater cost pressures after the halving. If price increases don’t offset these costs, less efficient operations may be forced out, further tightening market liquidity.

Historical Price Action After Halvings

Following each previous halving, Bitcoin has typically entered a “rally—correction—acceleration” price cycle. After the 2012, 2016, and 2020 halvings, BTC reached new all-time highs within one to two years of each event. Analysts expect BTC to reach the $120,000–$150,000 range by the end of 2025 if historical patterns persist, and possibly challenge $200,000 should supportive macro trends continue.

Latest News: Trump Media Makes Bold Move

In July 2025, Trump Media & Technology Group announced a $2 billion Bitcoin purchase—an investment that underscores major institutions’ long-term confidence in Bitcoin and could reshape traditional cycle expectations. The interplay of current political and policy trends injects further uncertainty into the post-halving outlook.

Current Price and Market Sentiment


Chart: https://www.gate.com/trade/BTC_USDT

At the time of publication, BTC is trading at $118,725, with an intraday range of $117,428–$119,210. The market remains in a short-term consolidation phase. Institutional buyers are active, while retail sentiment is cautious. Technical analysis and on-chain metrics both indicate that there is still upside potential.

How Investors Can Seize Opportunities

  1. Use dollar-cost averaging and laddered entries to manage volatility and smooth out entry prices.
  2. Track on-chain indicators: watch for changes in hash rate, wallet distribution, and exchange balances as key signals.
  3. Monitor macro policy shifts: ETF approvals and regulatory changes can directly influence capital inflows.
  4. Set stop-losses and take profits: Avoid all-in bets at market peaks, and secure profits.
Author: Max
* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
* This article may not be reproduced, transmitted or copied without referencing Gate. Contravention is an infringement of Copyright Act and may be subject to legal action.

Share

Crypto Calendar

Project Updates
The Bitcoin Layer 2 network Zulu Network is transitioning to the AI field. The Mainnet and related services will suspend operations on August 30, and whether to restart will depend on future demand.
AI
-2.63%
2025-08-30
Token unlock
Kamino (KMNO) will unlock approximately 229 million Tokens at 8 PM Beijing time on August 30, which accounts for 6.81% of the current Circulating Supply, valued at around 13.3 million USD.
KMNO
-5.91%
2025-08-30
Founder Unlocks Change
"... founder tokens will unlock monthly over a 10-year period, with unlocks occurring on the last day of each month in the amount..."
PRIME
-8.29%
2025-08-30
31.34MM Token Unlock
Optimism unlocks approximately 1.79% of its circulating supply at 12 AM UTC.
OP
-0.87%
2025-08-30
Founder Unlocks
Echelon Prime Foundation has finalized a smart contract to manage the long-term unlock of founder tokens. Starting August 31, a total of 6,018,518.5 PRIME tokens will begin unlocking at a rate of 50,154 tokens per month over a 10-year period. The unlocks will occur on the last day of each month and are designed to reflect the founders' long-term commitment to the PRIME ecosystem. This new approach is more conservative than previous unlocks and will be overseen by the Foundation to ensure transparency and trust.
PRIME
-8.29%
2025-08-30

Related Articles

Pi Coin Transaction Guide: How to Transfer to Gate.io
Beginner

Pi Coin Transaction Guide: How to Transfer to Gate.io

Pi Network is a decentralized cryptocurrency network for the general public, using the Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP) consensus mechanism, which allows users to easily mine Pi tokens from their mobile devices and use them for payments and transactions. With the official opening of the mainnet on February 20, 2025, investors can deposit and trade $PI on exchanges such as Gate.io. This article details how to securely transfer Pi Coins to Gate.io, including obtaining a deposit address, completing the transfer using the Pi Network mainnet wallet, and the exchange's arrival confirmation process. In addition, we have analysed $PI investment risks, including market volatility, compliance and potential fraud risks, to remind investors to take risk management before trading.
2/25/2025, 8:21:43 AM
What is N2: An AI-Driven Layer 2 Solution
Beginner

What is N2: An AI-Driven Layer 2 Solution

This article introduces N2 (Niggachain AI Layer 2), the world's first AI-driven Layer 2 blockchain solution. N2 combines AI technology and quantum computing resistance to address the limitations of traditional blockchains in scalability, transaction speed, and cost. Its core technologies include '0-second block time', AI-driven network optimization, and quantum-resistant security protection, aiming to improve transaction efficiency and ensure system stability.
12/23/2024, 7:21:00 AM
How to Sell Pi Coin: A Beginner's Guide
Beginner

How to Sell Pi Coin: A Beginner's Guide

This article provides detailed information about Pi Coin, how to complete KYC verification, and choose the right exchange to sell Pi Coin. We also provide specific steps for selling Pi Coin and remind of important matters to pay attention to when selling, helping novice users complete Pi Coin transactions smoothly.
2/26/2025, 9:20:50 AM
Grok AI, GrokCoin & Grok: the Hype and Reality
Beginner

Grok AI, GrokCoin & Grok: the Hype and Reality

Discover Grok AI, GrokCoin, and Grok Crypto—from Elon Musk's AI chatbot to the viral meme coin inspired by it. Learn about GrokCoin’s rise, its connection to Grok AI, and the risks of investing in meme coins.
3/7/2025, 10:33:07 AM
Flare Crypto Explained: What Is Flare Network and Why It Matters in 2025
Beginner

Flare Crypto Explained: What Is Flare Network and Why It Matters in 2025

Discover what Flare Crypto is, how it works, its use cases, tokenomics, and why it's gaining traction in the blockchain space in 2025.
4/15/2025, 1:21:45 AM
Understand Baby doge coin in one article
Beginner

Understand Baby doge coin in one article

Baby Doge Coin, also known as "Baby Dog Token", is a meme token derived from the Dogecoin community, which gained popularity through Elon Musk's tweets and enhanced token utility through mechanisms such as deflation, payment integration, and NFT ecosystem. This article comprehensively analyzes the project background, token information, application scenarios, and market performance of Baby Doge, helping investors quickly understand its potential and risks.
2/14/2025, 4:53:03 PM
Start Now
Sign up and get a
$100
Voucher!