Suspected insider Polymarket wallet cluster bets on US-Iran ceasefire, profits of $600k

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-04-08T08:41:06+00:00

A Polymarket wallet cluster made a profit of $600k by betting on a US-Iran ceasefire, involving a suspected insider network that previously profited $1.2 million by betting on US actions against Iran. These accounts used new funds to place bets just hours before the events and successfully predicted multiple geopolitical events.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-04-08 08:41:06

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Odaily Planet Daily News: A Polymarket wallet cluster profited $600k by betting on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The cluster is linked to a wider network composed of a suspected insider, and they trade geopolitical events with an unusually high degree of accuracy. These accounts connect to a broader cluster that previously earned about $1.2 million by betting on the U.S. striking Iran. They typically use wallets funded with newly deposited money, targeting specific dates such as February 28: they place “YES” bets a few hours before the events occur, and accurately predict incidents such as attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, Israel striking Iran, and the U.S. striking Iran. (SolanaFloor)

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