Analyst: Market Concerns Over Black Swan-Induced Crash Have Eased, No Expectation of Sustained Price Increase

AirdropBlackHole · 2026-04-08T07:41:17+00:00

Bitcoin surged to $72,000 following U.S.-Iran de-escalation, despite declining implied volatility and a falling volatility risk premium. The rise above $70,000 reassured the market, reducing fears of a crash but not signaling sustained price increases.

AirdropBlackHole

2026-04-08 07:41:17

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On April 8, Adam, an analyst at Greeks.live, stated that following a de-escalation between the U.S. and Iran, Bitcoin quickly surged to $72,000. However, the implied volatility (IV) of major expiration options continues to decline, with even the IV of near-term options also decreasing. The skew has been positively influenced by the reduction in negative skew. Additionally, the rise in realized volatility (RV) has caused the previously rebounding volatility risk premium (VRP) to fall back again. From the perspective of key options indicators, the rebound above $70,000 has provided significant encouragement to the market, primarily by alleviating concerns over a crash triggered by a black swan event, rather than indicating an expectation of sustained price increases.

BTC5.25%

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