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Polymarket adds a new prediction event: "Will Trump Mobile release a phone by the end of April or the end of June?"
ME News message. On April 1 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer’s Forecasting channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction event: “Will Trump Mobile release a phone by the end of April or by the end of June?” The probability of releasing a phone by April 30 is currently 6%, and the probability of releasing a phone by June 30 is 22%.
Market consensus. In December 2025, Trump Mobile, a brand under the Trump Group, delayed its originally planned delivery of its golden smart phone for the end of 2025. On January 24, 2026, tech media The Verge published a blog post stating that although the original T1 phone has not yet shipped, it is reported that, similar to the Trump Group’s previous brand licensing practices, the T1 phone and its services are not directly designed, developed, or sold by the Trump Group itself, but instead are operated by a third-party company through brand licensing.
Odaily Seer’s Forecasting channel continues to track the prediction market, and sees changes before pricing. (Source: ODAILY)