Morgan Stanley lowers China's growth forecast for this year to 4.7%

SighingCashier · 2026-04-07T18:50:19+00:00

April 8, 2026Morgan Stanley lowers China's growth forecast for this year to 4.7%=====================================================Enlarge image / Show original imageMorgan Stanley slightly lowers its forecast for China's economic growth this year, from the previous estimate of 4.8% down to 4.7%, reflecting that, under the baseline scenario, rising oil prices will have an impact, assuming oil prices remain around $110 per barrel in the second quarter before falling back.Oil prices expected to stay at $110 this quarterThe report by Morgan Stanley states that, amid high geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing conflicts in the Middle East,

SighingCashier

2026-04-07 18:50:19

April 8, 2026

Morgan Stanley cuts China’s growth forecast for this year to 4.7%

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Enlarge image / Show original image

Morgan Stanley slightly reduced its forecast for China’s economic growth this year, lowering it from the previous estimate of 4.8% to 4.7%. This reflects that, under the baseline scenario, higher oil prices will have an impact, and it assumes that oil prices will stay at around $110 per barrel in the second quarter, before then falling back. Oil prices expected to stay above $110 this quarter A report written by Morgan Stanley said that amid a high level of geopolitical uncertainty, and with ongoing conflict in the Middle East, even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, supply will be affected by …

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