0407 Simple note-taking

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Abstract generation in progress
  1. Index: The market is currently arranged for bears. Today it rebounded on reduced volume. Tomorrow, the normal expectation is that it will continue to decline. Unless there is a high-volume big bullish candle signal, the bottom cannot be confirmed.

  2. Sentiment:
    7 boards: Tianyao Pharmaceutical
    654: a gap
    3 boards: Huiyuan Communication, Xineng Taishan
    2 boards: Cuiwei Co., Ltd., Huashengchang, Shengquan Group, Zhongan Ke
    1 board: 86 companies

31 chemical companies hit the daily limit: all are first boards, with no core—rotation is the main driver.
12 communication companies hit the daily limit: the one-wave flow core is Huiyuan Communication with a three-board limit-up in one stroke. The trend-flow core is Farlens Sheng. After successfully triggering an anomaly, it then hit the daily limit with a T-shaped gain.
6 healthcare/biopharma companies hit the daily limit: the core is Tianyao Pharmaceutical with a 7-board explosive-volume limit-up. It has already entered the anomaly period, but the follow-through has broken away with a gap. Only first-board follow-ups remain. In addition, Wanfangde triggered the anomaly successfully; we’ll see how it performs tomorrow.

The market’s most important thing: one-wave flow—Tianyao Pharmaceutical’s 7-board run; trend-flow—Farlens Sheng.

Sentiment assessment: 4 companies hit the limit-down; only 48 companies had a drawdown exceeding -5%. The consecutive-limit board height increased from 6→7, and the second-highest from 2→3. Today is a sentiment-repair day, but it is not a main rally day. For now, Tianyao Pharmaceutical is judged to be the peak after the gradual decline of the Hadian Liaoneng cycle. The 8-board level is suppression. The healthcare sector’s pacing is relatively poor, and the sector’s ladder lineup cannot form a coherent system. Tomorrow, sentiment divergence is highly likely, and funds will realize gains.

Today’s actions:

  1. Sell Tianyao Pharmaceutical after the board failure. First, subjectively, Tianyao is at the peak of the Hadian Liaoneng cycle’s declining phase—not the period of a sentiment-driven main rally. Second, the healthcare sector has no hard-core logic support; it’s purely a sentiment-driven trade.
  2. Continue holding the mid-term position in Gushen Technology; CDN price hikes + edge computing + AI traffic explosion, etc.

Tomorrow’s plan: Tomorrow, Tianyao reaches a position under height suppression. Only if sentiment continues to strengthen could Tianyao turn stronger and have a chance to succeed. Otherwise, sentiment divergence could easily carry things through. Tomorrow’s short-term focus is to rest and watch, unless there is something that is particularly beyond expectations. The mid-term plan for Gushen Technology is to do T-trades to lower the cost.

[Taoguba]

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