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Just noticed something interesting in the market right now. Microsoft stock has gotten absolutely hammered lately, down over 20% from its highs. Everyone's freaking out about OpenAI's financial situation, but I think there's a solid opportunity being overlooked here.
Let me break down what's actually happening. Microsoft owns roughly 27% of OpenAI and they're deeply tied to the company's success. The market's worried because OpenAI is burning through cash at an insane rate and facing real competition from players like Anthropic and Google. Fair concerns, honestly. But here's the thing most people miss: OpenAI accounts for about 45% of Microsoft's Azure cloud backlog. That's massive exposure, yeah, but it also shows how much business is actually flowing through.
OpenAI isn't just sitting around waiting to fail either. They're raising $100 billion to fund operations and just launched new products like Frontier for enterprises. ChatGPT is still the dominant AI app by a mile. So while there's definitely risk to monitor, it feels premature to panic.
Now let's talk about Microsoft itself, because this is where the opportunity gets interesting. Strip away the OpenAI drama and Microsoft just posted a genuinely solid quarter. Cloud business grew 26% year-over-year to $51.5 billion. Their commercial backlog jumped 110% to $625 billion. These aren't numbers you see from a company in trouble.
The valuation is where this becomes one of the best stocks to buy now if you ask me. Trading at 25x earnings after the recent slide, that's the lowest multiple since late 2022, before AI really took off. Analysts are modeling 14-15% annual earnings growth over the next three to five years. If Microsoft hits those targets, the stock should perform pretty well from these levels.
People have forgotten that Microsoft has insanely entrenched products across the board. Azure, Office, their entire enterprise ecosystem. The company's not going anywhere. Once the market gets more comfortable with OpenAI's path forward, this stock will probably bounce back hard.
I genuinely think this is one of the best stocks to buy now while everyone's distracted by the noise. The dip looks like a solid entry point before sentiment shifts. Just my take on the current opportunity, but the fundamentals support it.