Today I came across a brother's analysis saying that the US military can't really fight in the Middle East, but whether a war actually breaks out is often not the point—what matters is that the "preliminary signs" have already been sent out.

Most people in the crypto world can't afford to bet. As long as the headlines contain words like "US military," "ground forces," or "Iran," the market will first drop out of respect. The same script has played out countless times: as soon as the news breaks, Bitcoin drops 6% in 45 minutes, and over 500 million dollars in long positions vanish into thin air.

Why? Because no one is willing to use their own positions to verify the truth. Panic sellers run first, leverage gets liquidated first. By the time a real conflict starts, those who should have cut their losses already have.

The truth of the news doesn't matter; market reactions are what truly count. Even if it turns out to be fake news in the end, the price won't return to where it was. Those trapped chips that got scared out won't come back.

This is the game rule of the crypto world—rumors are more deadly than the truth. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 $ETH ‌$BTC ‌