$BTC 4.5 Latest Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations

From the four-hour timeframe, the current market remains in a consolidation phase with a bottoming pattern, but upward momentum is clearly lacking, and the rebound strength continues to be suppressed. Although the short-term ladder-like correction has basically completed, and the price has fallen back to the lower boundary of the strong support zone, showing some signs of stabilization, the overall bearish trend has not fundamentally changed. While the downward momentum has weakened and the rebound potential is gradually building, the slow volume transition makes it difficult for bulls to mount an effective counterattack. Each rebound is more of a re-pressing after bears gather strength.

In the one-hour timeframe, although the price remains within a range, the rebounds are mainly technical repairs with no sustained buying follow-through. The volume fluctuates repeatedly, but the bearish dominance remains unchanged. The support structure below shows signs of strengthening, but this is more due to passive absorption by bulls rather than active buying. The consolidation and bottoming pattern has not yet been fully established, and the validity of the bottom still needs further confirmation. If the support zone is broken again, there is a risk of further decline.

Based on the overall cycle structure, although there are attempts at a rebound in the short term, the overall bearish trend remains unchanged. It is not advisable to blindly chase long positions. Maintain a high-short strategy, look for opportunities to establish short positions when rebound signals weaken, and focus on monitoring the defense of the lower boundary support zone. Once it is effectively broken, the bearish space is likely to further expand.