GRVT's anti-dilution commitment brings farmers back, making it stand out even more in a stagnant market.

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Timing is Just Right

When the market has no topics, no one will actively talk about GRVT. But this time the timing of the AMA was good: it clearly stated that Season 2 would not dilute old points, transforming the sentiment that could have turned into “burned out from grinding points” into a feeling of “early users being recognized.” Just as the market quieted down, GRVT’s TVL steadily increased, becoming one of the few moving data points. The TGE pushed to after June, and the new 6% community share (out of a total of 28%) felt more like a reward for those who persisted rather than a punishment for those who arrived early.

The discussion heated up because it touched on what farmers fear the most: dilution of points. GRVT did not slice the pie smaller but instead made it clear that “the pie will get bigger.” At the same time, tweets stating “TVL remains above $100 million” began to spread, forming a positive feedback loop—good data brings attention, and attention leads to more discussion. Compared to other altcoin sectors, this was even more apparent as their trading volumes dried up.

The Data Holds Up

Simply saying “farmers are enthusiastic about airdrops” doesn’t explain everything. The point multiplier can draw people in, but a discussion volume that expands more than twice isn’t something that can be explained by the multiplier alone. What truly amplifies the signal is the horizontal comparison: GRVT’s TVL increased by 847% to $107 million, while competing products barely moved during the same period. In a quiet market, capital will flow to places with real activity—GRVT’s OI rose to $484 million, and the cumulative single-sided trading volume reached $197 billion.

The wave of tweets on March 28 turned abstract data into shareable content: “share is protected” was tied to the costs already invested in grinding points, with individual posts garnering over 10,000 views pushing this narrative into consensus. Rather than speculation, it feels more like positioning ahead of the TGE. If monthly trading can maintain above $50 billion, there might still be pricing mismatches. GRVT’s hybrid ZK approach also differentiates it from pure Perps projects.

What Happened Starting Point How It Spread Repeatedly Mentioned Can It Last?
AMA increased community share (+6% to 28%) Official AMA, March 28 tweet spread Farmers shared to prove their effort wasn’t wasted, anti-dilution perspective spread on social networks “Old points are protected” “The pie got bigger” “S2 rewards those who persist” Highly likely to last—rewarding early investment makes sense post-TGE
TVL broke $107 million (up 847%) DefiLlama data plus March 28 user tweets Became prominent because “others didn’t move,” perceived as real growth “TVL is still rising in a quiet market” “Building seriously” “Money hasn’t withdrawn” Has reflexivity—hype drives data, macro shifts could lead to a downturn
Cumulative single-sided volume broke $197 billion Project blog data spread in long posts Traders showcased their positions, creating an echo chamber “Even in quiet periods, there was $200 billion volume” “GRVT is starting to lead” Hard to sustain without new catalysts
OI rose to $484 million Twitter long post tied it to point multipliers Framed as “confidence is accumulating,” liquidation risk perceived as low “OI pulled to 42x” “Real money is coming in” Relatively stable—real money, quiet periods are easily underestimated
Point protection mechanism Help documents confirmed in AMA Directly alleviated farmers’ concerns, creating a “sigh of relief” sentiment “Points still have value” “Dilution pressure has lessened” Now has reflexivity; can lead to long-term retention post-TGE
  • Farmers previously overestimated dilution risks. GRVT’s protection turned “fear” into “buying reason,” making the notion of “burned out from grinding points” outdated.
  • The quiet market amplified all signals. When other areas lack volume, projects with real activity naturally become rotation targets.
  • If OI can maintain above $484 million in April, I tend to remain bullish; if social media view counts drop below the millions, be wary of a reflexive pullback.
  • TGE (after June) is the real option. Treating it as “dump after grinding” may lead to mispositioning.

My View: This feels more like early positioning rather than short-term trading. Share protection combined with real data has created a more stable structure than typical airdrop cycles in a market where “there’s not much to do.” If trading volume can continue to expand before TGE, there is still upside potential. Those chasing multipliers will eventually leave, but the conviction behind this funding is different.

Summary: Still in the “early positioning” stage. More favorable for traders/farmers who can withstand volatility and continue to build positions and interactions, as well as crypto funds willing to gamble on pricing mismatches post-TGE. Pure short-term flow players are already starting to fall behind.

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