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Next Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Conflict at Critical Juncture, Central Banks of Japan and US May Signal Rate Hikes
On March 29th, the US-Iran conflict has continued for a full month. The upcoming week remains one filled with uncertainty and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks or conflict escalation, every small step will tug at the market’s taut nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectation roadmaps to the market. US non-farm payroll data will also significantly impact market liquidity expectations. Details are as follows:
Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases the Summary of Opinions from its March monetary policy meeting.
Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.
Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee delivers opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank.
Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech.
Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 28th, US February Trade Balance.
Friday 20:30, US March Unemployment Rate, US March Nonfarm Payrolls (seasonally adjusted), US March Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year), US March Average Hourly Earnings (month-on-month).
Friday 21:45, US March S&P Global Services PMI Final.
Finally, on April 3rd (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day. Precious metals and US crude oil futures trading will be suspended all day. Stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15). Forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.