The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 92.8%, and the probability of a rate hike is 7.2%.

GateUser-bd883c58 · 2026-03-28T15:28:07+00:00

Ask AI · How will the market predict June trends assuming the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged?【The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in April is 92.8%, with a 7.2% chance of a rate hike】Caixin, March 20. According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, with a 92.8% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a total 25 basis point increase by June is 9.2%, a 50 basis point increase is 0.2%, and the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 90.6%.

GateUser-bd883c58

2026-03-28 15:28:07

Ask AI · Under the probability that high interest rates will remain unchanged, how will the market anticipate June’s outlook?

【Probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in April is 92.8%, and the probability of a rate hike is 7.2%】Cailian She March 20, according to the CME “FedWatch”: The probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.8%. The probability that the Fed will cumulatively raise rates by 25 basis points by June is 9.2%, the probability of a cumulative rise of 50 basis points is 0.2%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.6%.

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