[Red Envelope] Receiving Jinzhengda's disagreement leads to a daily limit increase. Besides oil and gas, what other directions are there for the Iran-U.S. conflict?

Since joining Tao Gu Ba, I initially intended to use my pen as a blade and stocks as a mirror to record the ups and downs and the pulse of my trading journey. I didn’t expect to receive such warm support from fellow investors—each encouragement is like a warm tonic, dispelling the confusion of short-term battles; each attention is like a guiding thread, strengthening my resolve to refine my system and stay true to my original practice. [Tao Gu Ba]

Xiao You deeply understands that short-term trading is like traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis—requiring insight into “disease” amidst the fluctuations of rise and fall, and distinguishing “Yin and Yang.” Growth is not a solo journey—your recognition is the most valuable “medicine guide” in my review logs, giving this methodology of deconstructing the stock market with TCM thinking a more vibrant practical soil.

In the years ahead, I will continue to uphold my “Four Diagnostics”: observing the market, listening to capital flows, questioning the logic, and cutting in and out of trades. I will truthfully record the diagnostic process of each trade, gains and losses, and hope to use stocks as a medium to exchange insights, verify each other, and explore the path to profitability with fellow investors.

Grateful for this encounter; the road ahead is long, and I walk it with you.

26.02.27,
8:12 AM,
Pre-market planning clear in mind.

The main focus of ultra-short-term is
decisive actions at the opening,
timely recording and sharing.

Xiao You reviews daily with dedication,
full of sincerity,
hoping for recognition and encouragement from friends!

Today’s diagnosis summary:

Zfen Zhengda broke through the limit-up;
Runze Technology, after yesterday’s low buy surge, both closed slightly higher today.

February 27 Xiao You’s Four Diagnostics

1. Observation: Market Sentiment (Assessing the Big Trend, Recognizing Strength and Weakness)

2. Assessing the Big Trend: Judging the “Qi and Blood” of the Market
   The market opened low and rose high, with the Shanghai Composite closing at 4162.88 points, up 16.25 points. Although volume shrank (2.488 trillion, down 504 billion), it has held above the 2.5 trillion mark for four consecutive days, indicating “full Qi and Blood.” The index shows bullish engulfing bearish candles, MACD daily golden cross, weekly and monthly charts reaching new highs, suggesting a stable foundation—not false fire, but evidence of a slow bull climbing. Despite reduced volume, the turnover is healthy, and the bulls have strong control, with no risk of collapse.

3. Recognizing Strong and Weak Sectors: Core routes of “full Qi and Blood”
   Strong Sectors:
   Cyclical sectors (small metals/chemical industry): the hottest “fire vein” today. Tungsten, rare earths, antimony—strategic metals—are surging across the board, led by Zhangyuan Tungsten, with Jiang Tung Equipment assisting. The sector hit limit-up on 17 stocks. This is driven by policy pricing power and rising price expectations, with momentum at its peak.

Power (computing infrastructure): Yunnan Energy Holdings hit 7 consecutive limit-ups, with Gannan Energy, Huayin Power, and others following. This vein combines “computing power consumption” logic with “high dividend” defense, serving as a market backbone with sustained Qi and Blood, not a short-term play.

Computing power leasing/applications: despite hardware (CPO) plunging after Nvidia’s earnings, application sectors like computing leasing and AI programming are rebounding against the trend, with companies like Tuowei Information and Huasheng Tiancheng active, representing a “shift from high to low” re-energizing Qi and Blood.

Weak Sectors:
AI hardware/CPO/semiconductors: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xin Yisheng and other leaders plunged sharply after Nvidia’s earnings, suffering from “cold evil” entering the body, causing Qi and Blood stagnation. Capital flow switching is obvious.
Film/short dramas: post-Chinese New Year hangover, companies like Guangxian Media and Chinese Online continue to decline, indicating “Qi and Blood deficiency,” with no signs of recovery.

2. Listening: Market Voice (Exploring Policy-Industry Resonance, Capital Movements)

3. Policy-Industry Resonance:
   The US plans to use AI models to price key minerals, indirectly boosting domestic awareness of the scarcity of strategic resources like tungsten and rare earths. This is “external pressure turning into gold,” an invisible driver.

Before the Two Sessions, repeated mentions of new power systems and computing centers’ electricity demand highlight the “computing power + electricity” dual resonance. Policy expectations are in place; performance realization is early, but the imagination space is open.

2. Capital Movement:
   Limit-up capital: 50% success rate for second-day limit-ups, 60% for third, indicating focused capital on core stocks and strong willingness to “weed out the weak.”
   Divergent capital: Zfen Zhengda recovered at the close; chemical sector divergence turned into consensus, with funds actively accumulating in divergence—“contrarian gold absorption.”
   Limit-up attacking capital: Yunnan Energy Holdings opened with a second limit-up, Zhangyuan Tungsten, Gannan Energy also surged, with clear attack rhythm, typical of institutional manipulation.

3. Questioning: Self-Inquiry (Holding Positions, Checking Logic)

Questioning Position Logic: Recognizing the “Qi and Blood” quality of stocks
Zfen Zhengda:
Phosphates + rising price concept, recovered from divergence today, showing strong vitality. The logic is “one doing two,” similar to relay race. Need to see if it can weaken and turn strong tomorrow!

Runze Technology, Gancheng Shares:
Holding unchanged, logic intact. Both are in the “computing power” vein, maintaining bottom line, waiting for Qi and Blood to flow back.

4. Pulse Check: Strategy and Action (Setting tactics, knowing when to advance or retreat)

Market Trend: The slow bull pattern remains. Tomorrow likely continues to oscillate upward, challenging 4200 points.

Sector Outlook:
Cyclical sectors (small metals): Possible divergence tomorrow; strong stocks stay strong, weaker ones may be eliminated—“weed out the weak, keep the strong.”
Power/Computing: Yunnan Energy Holdings opens high, Gannan Energy may accelerate; this line remains suitable for low entry.
Healthcare/A-shares: Some movement today; may lead rotation and rebound tomorrow.

Trading principle: Stick to “weed out the weak, keep the strong,” let profits run, cut losses timely.

While writing this post, tensions between the US and Iran flare up again, and the market may experience intense volatility.
Next week, market rotations will be influenced by US-Iran tensions, with sectors like oil & gas, metals, shipping, military, and chemicals leading the dance.

Short-term trading requires cultivating the mind. Do not let daily ups and downs disturb your spirit; instead, look beyond phenomena to understand the market’s “Qi and Blood” flow. When you can calmly respond to market fluctuations, dare to buy low in divergence, and sell high in consensus, you are “mastering the market” rather than “being mastered.”

The greatest opportunity is where no one is paying attention;
The greatest risk is when everyone is making noise.
Let capital become an extension of your will!

Wishing everyone’s Qi and Blood flow smoothly, and their accounts shine long and bright!

[Special thanks]: Brothers and sisters of Jinfen Shijia, your understanding and support through storms and sunshine have been invaluable.
Xiao You has now re-followed, and will balance fishing and trading.
Looking forward to more exchanges, mutual progress, and pursuit of freedom!

Thanks to all brothers and sisters for your likes! Recognizing others also accumulates your own blessings;

Thanks for your generous tips! Those who are willing to give will receive continuously and abundantly!

Thanks for your encouragement! Cheering for others will make your path blossom and become more wonderful!