Real trading record of a seasoned investor's path to recoup losses (26-02-27)

Goal: Reach 1.16 million in February [Taogu Ba]

Date: 02-27
Stock Market Weather: Shanghai Composite (0.39%) CSI 2000 (0.80%) Up 3,271 Down 2,068
Today’s Profit and Loss: 1.65%

Today’s Operations

1. Last night, I queued Chuanrun Shares and Beijing Kerey, but the bidding did not meet expectations, so I canceled the orders and waited for the opening opportunity.

2. The new one-word first board in the bidding was China Tanying. After AI analysis, I found that Qidi Environment and China Science Environmental Protection had the highest match, both with environmental protection and solid waste treatment concepts. I already hold Qidi Environment, and China Science Environmental Protection only opened 1 point higher and still has room, so I bought directly in the bidding. After the bidding ended, I found that Geer Software was also snatched at the last second with a one-word board, so I asked AI to analyze again. The highest match was Ruiming Technology among the alternatives, both in software development industry, with concepts of vehicle networking and data security, so I also bought it directly. The two stocks recommended by AI today did not perform well, but since I reduced my positions, the loss was minimal.

3. After the bidding, Beijing Kerey opened more than 6 points higher, fitting Mode A; Guanghe Technology opened 1 point higher, fitting Mode B; Ruiming Technology opened between 0-1 points, barely fitting Mode B; Chuanrun Shares and Tongding Interconnection opened more than 2 points lower, with weak trends, so I gave up tracking. Today, both the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 2000 opened lower, and the market environment needs further observation.

4. During the bidding, besides the one-word board, the highest opening was Beijing Kerey. I felt it might have some unknown positive news, so I prepared to buy at the opening. But with price cages in place and fearing it might hit the limit-up at open and turn into a failed order, I placed a limit buy order at 9:29:48. Due to high competition, I still failed to buy, which was a bit regrettable.

5. I hold three stocks. Since this month’s task is already completed, I plan to clear all positions. Because the new one-word first board China Tanying has environmental concepts, and Qidi Environment has a high probability of hitting the board, I sold Jiangte Electric and Yunnan Germanium Industry in bidding. Qidi Environment successfully hit the board, Jiangte Electric sold at 2 points profit, and Yunnan Germanium Industry at 9 points profit. But it’s okay; after completing the task, clearing positions to preserve profits is the most important, and I will strictly follow this. I am already satisfied with gaining one more board.

6. There are only 14 trading days this month. The market is not very good, and I am happy to achieve 5% target; unexpectedly, I achieved 8.32%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.24 percentage points, marking a good start for the Year of the Horse. This month, there were 27 trades, with 18 successful, success rate 66%. Specific performance by mode: one trade in one-word board mode, success; 2 trades in Mode A, 1 success, 1 failure; 14 trades in Mode B, 9 success, 4 failure, 1 tie; 10 trades in new mode, 7 success, 2 failure, 1 tie.

7. The biggest loss this month came from Mode B’s Tiantong Shares. When it rose over 8 points, I should have hit the board instead of chasing high, leading to a peak and fall back, and a 7-point loss the next day. There are few opportunities to exit in one-word board mode and Mode A this month, so I temporarily set them aside. The win rate of the bidding volume arbitrage mode reached 70%. Although arbitrage requires quick entry and exit, limiting profits, as long as it can steadily increase income, it’s a good mode. It will be officially included next month.

Trading Mode and Experience Summary
-------------Stock Selection-------------

1. Select 3 first boards each night for the backup pool, combining market, sector, hot spots, and stock pattern analysis. Choose strong rather than weak, only the strongest sectors or new sectors’ top first boards. Prefer stocks with restructuring concepts or multiple strong concepts. Avoid stocks with overly good performance to prevent hidden risks (02-10).
2. If no suitable first board stocks are available that day, do not trade. Stocks without sector support should be passed (01-08).
3. Don’t rush during holidays; wait until the last night, and consider all news developments before making choices (02-10).

-------------Position Opening-------------

1. Only do one entry with two exits, selecting the strongest from the backup pool for overnight orders. Focus on bidding for one-word boards; if unable to buy, stay in cash (04-24).
2. During the main rise, prioritize one-word boards; during chaos, can give up one-word boards to chase turnover stocks for breakout opportunities (12-27).
3. Cancel orders before 9:20:00 if the total bid volume is less than 100 million (05-30).
4. When CSI 2000 turns red and is stronger than Shanghai Composite, and the stock’s sector has no limit-up or only one-word boards:
   a. If the backup stock opens 6-9 points higher + successfully hits the board before 10 points → buy at the breakout
   b. If the backup stock opens 1-5 points higher + price stabilizes and breaks intraday high → buy at breakout
5. Use volume arbitrage mode: identify the most related one-in-two targets based on bidding for one-word boards, buy directly in bidding, and sell the next day in bidding (02-27).
6. Use half-position rolling operations to reduce risk (01-03).
7. Do not trade stocks with 20CM (20 consecutive limit-ups) (03-07).
8. Only trade if the success rate of one-word boards exceeds 80% on the day (06-20).
9. Don’t be afraid or float; buy according to the pattern, wait for the next opportunity if missed. The market offers many opportunities; patience is key (12-12).

-------------Holding Stocks-------------

1. For all holdings hitting the limit-up, set an alert for the order book. If the order book reduces by more than half, consider smashing the stock (12-25).
2. For stocks that broke the limit yesterday, if the bid opens more than 2 points below, cut losses immediately at open with limit order (12-27).
3. For stocks that did not hit the board yesterday, observe whether the bidding trend weakens or strengthens. If weakening, cut losses at open; if strengthening, hold along the moving average (12-27).
4. Stocks with successful continuous boards (not third-party stocks) can be managed until the end of the trading day, such as selling at the limit-up or limit-down price if unable to hit the limit-up (12-27).

-------------Other-------------

1. After a big loss, stay calm. The road is long. Keep cool, and recover gradually as planned (12-03).
2. Review lessons before each market open. In 2025, focus on practice, continuously optimize stock selection, and strive to improve success rate (12-31).

2025 Profit: 34.41%, Operation success rate: 50.09%
January Trading Summary
Monthly profit: 11%, success rate: 58.13%
February Trading Summary
02-02 Backup (Baiyun Electric 9.99, Tongding Interconnection 10.06, Mingdiao Shares 10.02, Tianqi Shares 4.76, Maoye Commercial 10.03)
Baiyun Electric not in the list, mode outside (Denghai Seeds, 3.10 today, -0.43 next day, profit/loss 4.80)
02-03 Backup (Wanlin Logistics 1.31, Guangdian Electric -0.93, Xinhua Department Store 9.99, Jinying Shares -0.21, Qunxing Toys 2.40)
Buy (Xinhua Department Store, next day -1.17, profit/loss 6.05) (Jinying Shares, next day 0.32, profit/loss 0.14) mode outside (Sanfu Outdoor, 3.90 today, -0.41 next day, profit/loss 3.82)
02-04 Backup (Haotai Technology 6.63, Yuejian Intelligent 3.31, Tiantong Shares 10.00, Lushan New Material 4.45, Jidong Equipment -2.24)
Buy (Tiantong Shares, next day -5.55, profit/loss -3.68) mode outside (Sanhua Intelligent Control, today -1.28, next day -3.04, profit/loss -2.59)
02-05 Backup (Huafa Shares 2.94, Baotailong -3.02, Zhongyedah -4.01, Jingcheng Shares -1.93, Yamaton -5.62)
Buy (Huafa Shares, next day -2.42, profit/loss -2.91) mode outside (Shandong Heda, today -4.30, next day 3.59, profit/loss 0)
02-06 Backup (Shenjian Shares 10.04, Haixin Food -2.21, Jinyi Film & TV -0.60, Qunxing Toys -2.36, Yaowang Technology -4.98)
Buy (Shenjian Shares, next day -1.97, profit/loss 4.18) (Haixin Food, next day 1.06, profit/loss -4.86) (Jinyi Film & TV, next day 3.17, profit/loss 1.00)
Mode outside (Yuewan Nianqing, today 5.62, next day 4.21, profit/loss -8.34)
02-09 Backup (Data Port 1.00, Dingsheng New Material 3.26, Tiantong Shares 2.97, Zhongxing Bacteria Industry -2.12, Haoliang Data -2.03)
Buy (Data Port, next day 5.94, profit/loss 0) (Tiantong Shares, next day 3.28, profit/loss 12.30) mode outside (Runtu Shares, today 9.99, next day 5.85, profit/loss 6.81)
02-10 Backup (Dawi Technology 9.99, Tiantong Shares 0.76, Yiliu Media 10.02, Huihuang Technology -0.21, Suzhou Gude 1.10)
Buy (Tiantong Shares, next day -0.06, profit/loss -7.65)
02-11 Backup (Tefa Information 9.99, Cuka Shares 10.04, Huashu Media -4.58, Wentou Holdings -5.36, Ancai High-tech -4.63)
Buy (Cuka Shares, next day 2.87, profit/loss 2.09) mode outside (Ancai High-tech, next day 2.99, profit/loss 1.75)
02-12 Backup (Shandong Glass Fiber 10.03, Huilu Eco 3.59, Lianhua Shares -1.51, Jinjing Daxin 3.08, Xinjin Road 6.49)
Buy (Xinjin Road, next day -3.13, profit/loss 5.30)
02-13 Backup (Changhua Group -3.50, Chuanrun Shares -6.62, Changbao Shares -8.13, Shuangliang Energy Saving -9.99, Shunna Shares -6.16)
Buy (Changhua Group, next day 3.54, profit/loss 1.26) mode outside (Capital Online, today 3.67, next day 0.40, profit/loss 0.54)
02-24 Backup (Baida Precision 7.58, Farsight 9.95, Huajian Group 0.80, Yaxing Anchor Chain 10.01, Taijia Shares -2.30)
Buy (Farsight, next day 9.95, profit/loss 9.80) mode outside (Shen Technology, today 4.58, next day -1.45, profit/loss 1.77)
02-25 Backup (Shandong Glass Fiber 2.99, Senyuan Electric 2.05, Liugui Chemical 9.96, Yellow River Cyclone 0.11, Shandong Molong 3.78)
Buy (Liugui Chemical, next day -1.79, profit/loss 10.92)
02-26 Backup (Yunnan Germanium 10.01, Jiangte Electric 1.91, Zinc Industry 0.00, Nuode Shares 1.84, Royal Court International -2.17)
Buy (Yunnan Germanium, next day 8.72, profit/loss 0.56) (Jiangte Electric, next day 2.06, profit/loss -6.43) mode outside (Qidi Environment, today 9.92, next day 1.44, profit/loss 20.95)
02-27 Backup (Beijing Kerey 10.00, Guanghe Technology 1.76, Ruiming Technology -0.83, Chuanrun Shares 1.35, Tongding Interconnection 1.05)
Buy (Ruiming Technology, next day, profit/loss) mode outside (Zhongke Environmental Protection, today -3.34, next day, profit/loss)

Tomorrow’s Plan
Within the second-tier position mode, try a half-position trial.