The 1H level repeatedly tests the EMA20 (1.685), with the price declining but open interest remaining stable, suggesting that selling pressure may come from long stop-losses rather than main force liquidation. The 4H level is still in a weak rebound within a downtrend channel, but the 1H RSI (47.57) has not made a new low, indicating a possible bullish divergence, offering a short-term rebound opportunity.
- Execution Strategy: After entering, if the price quickly rebounds to above 1.695 (above 1H EMA20), move the stop loss to the entry price. After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50%, and move the remaining stop loss to 1.695 to aim for Target 2.
Deep Logic: The price has fallen from the high of 1.743, but open interest remains stable, with no signs of panic selling. The 1H buy-side depth is still decent, with the 1.662-1.670 zone being a support area tested multiple times recently. The current funding rate (0.01%) rules out liquidation risk but provides a slight incentive for longs to hold. The core logic is a play on the rebound at the key support zone on the 1H level, with a clear stop-loss.
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【$AR Signal】Pullback Long + 1H Level Support Play
The 1H level repeatedly tests the EMA20 (1.685), with the price declining but open interest remaining stable, suggesting that selling pressure may come from long stop-losses rather than main force liquidation. The 4H level is still in a weak rebound within a downtrend channel, but the 1H RSI (47.57) has not made a new low, indicating a possible bullish divergence, offering a short-term rebound opportunity.
🎯Direction: Long $AR Long(
🎯Entry/Order: 1.670 - 1.675 )Gradual Accumulation(
🛑Stop Loss: 1.650 )Break below previous low 1.662 and below 1.650(
🚀Target 1: 1.720 )4H Resistance(
🚀Target 2: 1.750 )EMA20 Resistance on 4H(
🛡️Trade Management:
- Position Size: Light
- Execution Strategy: After entering, if the price quickly rebounds to above 1.695 (above 1H EMA20), move the stop loss to the entry price. After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50%, and move the remaining stop loss to 1.695 to aim for Target 2.
Deep Logic: The price has fallen from the high of 1.743, but open interest remains stable, with no signs of panic selling. The 1H buy-side depth is still decent, with the 1.662-1.670 zone being a support area tested multiple times recently. The current funding rate (0.01%) rules out liquidation risk but provides a slight incentive for longs to hold. The core logic is a play on the rebound at the key support zone on the 1H level, with a clear stop-loss.
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$AR
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