Investors Who Can't Hear the Alarm: Complete Analysis of BTC Rebound Logic, PEPE Outlook, and Altcoin Season Opportunities

Many investors fail to hear the market’s “alarm clock” because they are often overwhelmed by short-term emotions, ignoring the true signals of the market. When BTC rebounds from $80,000 to $98,000, people shout about new highs; when it drops to $60,000, they panic and turn bearish; as it recovers to around $70,000, debates about a reversal begin. This chasing highs and selling lows mentality is the fundamental reason for investment losses. The investors who truly make money are often those who can analyze rationally and think contrarily.

The Truth Behind Market Rebounds — BTC Rebound Does Not Equal Reversal

Currently, BTC is consolidating around $66,030. Many are optimistic about the rebound prospects, but it’s important to clarify: this upward move is merely a normal rebound within the second wave of a downtrend, not a reversal signal.

On the technical side, the main target zones for BTC’s rebound are around $72,000 and $75,000. $72,000 is a daily resistance level, while $75,000 marks the final rebound target within the second wave of the downtrend. If the rebound reaches these levels, then the next steps can be considered. Investors need to abandon illusions, clearly recognize that this is a rebound, not a reversal, and after reaching these targets, they should take partial profits according to their plan rather than hoping for further breakthroughs.

Investors who ignore the market’s “alarm clock” often overlook the difference between a rebound and a reversal, ending up trapped at high levels. The rational approach is to recognize the limited height of the rebound, set clear profit-taking plans, and prefer to sell early rather than get caught in a trap.

Specific Target Zone Analysis — Recent Performance of Mainstream Cryptos

Ethereum (ETH) Target Price

The long position strategy for ETH should continue. Currently trading around $1,950, the short-term target is near $2,200. As long as the market direction is correct, hold with confidence—frequent trading during volatility often erodes gains. Staying firm in your holdings is key to profitability.

Solana (SOL) Rebound Demand

SOL shows relatively strong performance, with rebound targets in the $95–$100 range. The current price at $82.54 is close to initiating a rebound. This coin has clear rebound potential; investors can enter gradually based on technical signals, and take profits once the target is reached.

PEPE’s Rebound Space

PEPE, as a MEME coin, is highly volatile. On the daily chart, if PEPE can hold the key level at $0.0000050, there is room for further upside. Conversely, if it cannot hold this level effectively, exit immediately—there’s no need to hesitate about “selling early.” In a bear market rebound, timely stop-losses are always more profitable than chasing highs. Currently, PEPE at around $0.00 offers good value in a low-level rebound.

Altcoin Season Overview — Analysis of Recently Launched and Not Yet Launched Tracks

Regarding whether “Altcoin Season is really coming,” the answer is possible, but the time window is relatively limited. This round of altcoin rally is unlikely to last more than two weeks; sustaining it until after the Spring Festival is already impressive. It’s better to define it as a “Altcoin Week.”

Main Tracks Already Initiated:

AI sector shows signs of activation with TAO ($179.40) and VIRTUAL ($0.69); MEME tokens like PEPE and DOGE ($0.09) are rebounding; Binance Smart Chain ecosystem tokens like BNB ecosystem coins are starting to move; DeFi tokens such as AAVE ($115.53) and MORPHO ($1.78) are strong; mainstream coins XRP ($1.36) and SOL continue leading gains; privacy coins ZEC ($223.11) and DASH ($33.84) are bottoming and rebounding; DEX tokens HYPE ($28.12) and ASTER ($0.69) are gradually activating.

From this perspective, most tracks seem to have entered a rebound cycle. However, retail investors often react late; when most realize that the altcoin rally has arrived, the rally is already nearing its end. This is why investors who ignore the market’s “alarm clock” are always a step behind.

Potential Activation Directions — Opportunities and Risks in Not Yet Launched Tracks

Unactivated Tracks Overview:

Storage sector shows no clear signs of activation; staking projects remain largely stagnant; some AI tokens still have room for a rebound; stablecoin projects are severely oversold; RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization) sector remains at the bottom. These unactivated sectors all have rebound potential, and investors can look for bottom-fishing opportunities here.

Particularly, MEME sector’s small-cap coins like NEIRO still have rebound demand and can be considered for potential positions.

Due to differing community preferences for specific coins, detailed project screening suggestions will mainly be shared within the community for members; the broader platform will focus on providing sector frameworks and analysis methods. This approach protects paid community members’ interests and helps users develop independent coin selection skills.

Bear Market Survival Guide — Dollar-Cost Averaging Mindset and Long-Term Strategy

Short-term market analysis is essentially about repeatedly finding the best timing within cycles, but the ultimate secret to profit is simple: set your alarm clock, dollar-cost average into Bitcoin during the bear market, hold for over three years, and patiently wait for the next bull run.

Many investors fail to hear the market’s “alarm clock” because they are obsessed with short-term fluctuations, neglecting the value of long-term allocation. Most are unwilling to believe that making money can be this simple—set a plan, stick to it, and give up over-focusing on short-term moves.

In this bear cycle, there is still considerable time before the real end of this major bear market. This period is the golden window for dollar-cost averaging. Instead of obsessing over every short-term rebound, it’s better to develop a long-term DCA plan and use time to gain space. When the next bull market arrives, I hope we can all be part of it, rather than being eliminated because we couldn’t hear the market’s “alarm clock.”