Prolonged Bear Market Cycle: How Long Will the Downtrend Last?

After reaching an all-time high of $126,080 in October 2025, the cryptocurrency market has entered a bearish phase that could last significantly longer than expected. Analyst Axel recently revealed a concerning forecast about the duration of this correction: according to his analysis, the current bear market could persist until late 2026 or even mid-2027, suggesting that investors should prepare for an extended period of downward pressure.

Analysis of Historical Cycles and Repetitive Patterns

Axel’s prediction is not baseless speculation but is supported by concrete data. According to research backed by NS3.AI, this projection is based on the analysis of historical trends observed in previous bear market cycles. Data shows that these corrective phases typically last between 1.1 and 2.5 years, placing the analyst’s forecast within ranges already seen in the past.

Interestingly, these bear cycles are not random: they follow identifiable accumulation patterns. The current phase may be replicating these historical dynamics, where after reaching extreme highs, markets need extended periods to redistribute positions and build a solid foundation for the next bullish move.

Technical Indicators That Will Define the Trend

A key factor in confirming the continuation of this bearish trend will be the behavior of specific technical indicators. The crossover of the 90-day moving average below the 365-day moving average is considered a crucial signal: when this occurs, it generally validates the persistence of prolonged bearish conditions.

This technical indicator acts as a compass for traders and investors seeking to understand whether we are truly in a long-term cycle or if a rebound could occur sooner than expected. If this crossover is confirmed, Axel’s prediction of the bear market extending into 2027 would gain greater credibility.