2026-01-22 15:01:12

Looking at the performance of $RIVER, to be honest, I feel a bit hopeless. The remaining only $700 in funds is no longer enough to turn the tide. Even more heartbreaking is that the pattern of this coin's movement is almost identical to TRB's. I've been dominated enough already; I really don't want to repeat this show.

After careful comparison, the similarity can reach 85%. First, look at the trend type—both coins are in an upward trend on the daily chart, and both are stuck in the main acceleration phase of the trend. The early story is also the same: first decline, then consolidation, and finally a breakout. Once the central zone is broken, both experienced a series of consecutive large bullish candles.

The central structure is even eerily similar. $RIVER is consolidating around 1.616, TRB around 73.100, both forming a standard 3-phase daily central zone (down-up-down). The entire range is clearly defined, and after breaking through, both accelerated directly without any retest.

Speaking of strokes and segments, after breaking the central zone, both show continuous upward strokes, each more vigorous than the last—the candlestick bodies and volume gradually increase. Pullbacks? Those are just small adjustments on the 15/30-minute level; on the daily chart, there are no obvious top reversal patterns. This is a typical strong trend with weak retracements.

MACD tells the same story. When breaking the central zone, both coins showed a golden cross with increasing red bars, and DIF and DEA moved upward in sync. After entering the main upward phase, the red bars kept expanding, with no signs of divergence at the top. The DIF/DEA ratio for $RIVER, and the DIF=22.424 and DEA=15.305 for TRB, are still in the trend continuation phase.

Volume analysis also aligns. At the moment of breakout, the trading volume for both coins surged significantly, more than twice the average volume within the central zone. After entering the main upward phase, volume continued to gently increase, with no volume-price divergence—healthy and steady growth in both.

This is why I am collapsing—history really seems to be repeating itself.

TRB-1.42%

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 7h ago

Holding on to 700 dollars and refusing to let go, really, if you need to cut losses, just cut losses, brother. Repetition of history? Well, I guess we have to see it to believe it... Sigh, it's the same old trick, coming around again? I'm fed up. I should have run the moment the breakdown happened, now I regret it to death. No matter how perfect the technical analysis is, it can't withstand being smashed... Feels like we're about to repeat the same mistake again, really can't take it anymore. This time, be smarter, take profits when things look good, okay?

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