If you want to make stable money in the crypto world, you can't skip the step of the rise and fall leaderboard. Just like a fleet setting sail needs to watch the wind direction, those who ignore the market trends will eventually find themselves on the list of ships capsizing.

My daily opening ritual is to pull two weeks of rise and fall data, focusing only on coins with suddenly explosive trading volume. Projects with no signs of capital fluctuation, even if hyped as the next leader, feel meaningless. The real buying points are always accompanied by abnormal movements in the chips.

The direction issue doesn't really require guessing; the monthly chart trend can explain most stories. The waves on the daily chart are just noise, draining your mentality and stop-loss space. Things that truly influence the overall situation are always written in the monthly chart. Once the MACD on the monthly chart forms a golden cross, it's like igniting the engine. Following up at this point is called riding the trend, not gambling.

As for how to get in specifically, I rely on the 60-day moving average line. After confirming the trend, wait for the price to pull back to the 60-day line and for trading volume to increase. Only then do I commit heavy chips. Clear support levels and comfortable psychological costs naturally improve trading quality.

But here’s the most painful truth—whether you can make money depends more on selling than buying.

My exit rule is simple: once the price falls below the 60-day line, I close all positions without hesitation. No matter how much profit was made before, a breakdown is a breakdown. One moment of softness can wipe out all your gains.

The method to protect unrealized profits is also very mechanical: when it rises 30%, take half off; then when it reaches 50%, reduce half again. The remaining position is all run with other people's money, and the mentality is completely different.

Some say this rule is too rigid. But over the years, I’ve realized more and more—those who follow a system are making money, while those relying on feelings will eventually owe debts. Every rule behind it is built on real pitfalls that have been stepped on with real money.

When the trend changes, new opportunities will come, but the underlying logic won't change. Mastering trend, position, and discipline—these three variables—allows you to only make money you understand, and the market won't turn against you.

The next wave of opportunity is brewing. Can you keep up with the rhythm?