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Don't remind me again today

In another 20 days, the Fed will hold a meeting again. Interestingly, the market currently predicts that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is only 32.8%—this number is much lower than most people expected. It seems that this time the market and the Fed may not be on the same page regarding the rate cut expectations.

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TxFailedvip
· 10h ago
ngl, 32.8% is basically the fed saying "lol maybe" while everyone's checking their portfolio like it's a lottery ticket. classic misalignment theater, learned this the hard way in like... three different rate cycles now.
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LightningSentryvip
· 10h ago
Is the Fed playing psychological warfare with a 32.8% probability?
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EternalMinervip
· 11h ago
32.8%? This probability is ridiculously low, it feels like the market is about to be slapped in the face again.
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