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Monad Public Sale Prediction: 300 million is stable, but only a 40% chance for 600 million?
[Block Rhythm] I took a look at the market data on Polymarket regarding the public sale of Monad, and it's quite interesting.
The probability of betting on the public sale reaching 300 million USD is as high as 93%, which is basically a done deal. The 400 million USD level has an 83% win rate, and it seems that the market confidence is quite strong.
However, at the level of 600 million dollars, the probability drops to 40% - it's a fifty-fifty situation.
To be honest, you can see some insights from this probability distribution: everyone thinks Monad can definitely raise a lot of money, but there is some hesitation about whether it can reach a super high valuation. After all, the public chain track is currently highly competitive; just making promises is not enough, actual implementation capability is what matters.