Ethereum $ETH Short-term Trading Strategy (November 9, 2025)

Strategy Recommendations

1. Focus on Range Trading, Buy the Dips and Sell the Rallies
Currently, Ethereum is fluctuating between $3390 and $3420, with technical indicators showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The daily EMA trend remains bearish, but the four-hour MACD momentum is weakening, and RSI has rebounded from oversold levels to around 50, indicating a short-term easing of the downtrend and potential sideways consolidation.

2. Watch Key Resistance and Support Levels

◦ Resistance: $3460-3510 (Fibonacci 0.786 level + EMA30 resistance).

◦ Support: $3380-3330 (Daily Bollinger Band lower band + institutional accumulation zone).
A breakout above $3460 could push prices toward $3550-3600; a breakdown below $3330 may trigger a new decline toward $3200.

3. Balance Between Institutional Holdings and Macro Risks
Institutional holdings have surpassed 6 million ETH, indicating long-term optimism. However, on November 7, there was a net outflow of $48.1 million from Ethereum in the US, suggesting short-term capital outflow pressure. Coupled with ongoing US government shutdown and a sharp decline in consumer confidence index, market sentiment may fluctuate.

Trading Suggestions

1. Short Positions

◦ Entry Points: Gradually enter within the $3460-3510 range, with a stop-loss at $3560 (risk $30-50).

◦ Targets: First target at $3400-3350; if broken, further downside targets at $3300-3250.

2. Long Positions

◦ Entry Points: Gradually enter within the $3380-3330 range, with a stop-loss at $3270 (risk $30-50).

◦ Targets: First target at $3430-3480.

3. Risk Management

◦ Position Size: Do not allocate more than 20% of total funds to a single position; strictly control stop-loss at $30-50 (adjust based on entry point).

◦ Signal Monitoring: If the price volume breaks above $3460 or drops below $3230, close positions promptly to avoid adverse moves.

Key Reminders

• Short-term sentiment dominates: Derivatives market short positions are 3.5 times larger than longs, risking short squeeze; trade cautiously with small positions.

• Long-term accumulation window: If the price drops to $3100-3250, consider gradual accumulation for targets of $3600-3860 (patience required, hold for 2-6 weeks).

• Technical upgrade anticipation: Ethereum’s upgrade in early December (such as Verkle Trees) may bring short-term positive effects; plan ahead.