2025.10.19 Bitcoin Ethereum market analysis

Overnight, the market game has reached its peak, with the complexity of the environment and the sharp drop in gold and silver all signaling something! Bessent and the American spokesperson are both targeting the East University, as the trade event escalates; the uncertainty of the American closure event affects the global economy and tests Trump's foreign peace policy. Next week, some data will be released, once again influencing the market, with Bitcoin hovering around 107500 and Ether oscillating near 3900.
Technically: Currently, the trigger of 107500 induced by 103500 fully tests the market's patience. The southbound structural order is arranged. It has greatly restricted the northbound trend, initially reflecting the heated game in the market. The drama performed by small fish and shrimp is indeed limited in vision; the 4-hour platform is narrowing, showing caution from both bulls and bears, with the moving average system in a stalemate, undergoing oscillation correction; the MACD fast and slow lines have a golden cross below the zero axis, which is very obvious; the momentum bars are breaking the zero axis with increased volume.
Strategy: Real-time strategy follow-up.
Long position near 104800, stop loss: 104300, take profit: 105500-107500-108500
Short near 109500, stop loss at 109900, take profit at 104700-107500
Technically: The main structure at this level is weakening, with no changes! 3670 triggered the Northbound market, and with the test of 3950, instability appeared, breaking the support point at 3927, leading to a southbound demand. On the 4-hour chart, the middle Bollinger band is under pressure, indicating the formation of a structural type, and the southbound trend is evident. The MACD fast line golden cross at the slow zero axis shows there is still a Northbound demand. The momentum bars are shrinking.
Strategy:
Buy near 3810, stop loss: 3788, take profit 3860-3900-3940
Short around 3930, stop loss at 3955, take profit: 3734-3820-3880
Market fluctuations are severe, and risk control must be in place! Strategies are for reference only.