The latest economic forecast released by the Federal Reserve paints an encouraging picture. According to the report, the U.S. economy is expected to achieve moderate growth in the coming years, while inflationary pressures will gradually ease, and monetary policy will gradually return to normal.

In terms of economic growth, the Federal Reserve expects the median GDP growth rate to be 1.6% in 2025, with a long-term growth rate maintained at around 1.8%. This indicates that the U.S. economy will maintain a stable but not overheating development trend. The labor market is also expected to remain relatively stable, with the unemployment rate projected to be 4.5% in 2025, and it is expected to further decrease to 4.2% by 2028, close to the natural unemployment rate level as considered by economists.

In terms of inflation, the Federal Reserve's forecast shows that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will drop to 3.1% in 2025 and further decline to the long-term target level of 2.0% by 2028. This forecast reflects the Federal Reserve's confidence that inflation has entered a controllable trajectory.

Regarding monetary policy, the Federal Reserve expects the median federal funds rate to be 3.6% in 2025, decreasing to 3.0% in 2028, with a long-term equilibrium level around 2.8%. This means that the current tight monetary policy will gradually return to a neutral level.

It is worth noting that these forecasts may have an indirect impact on the cryptocurrency market. Traditionally, the price trends of digital assets like Bitcoin often follow some cyclical patterns. However, if the Federal Reserve's macroeconomic predictions materialize, this cyclicality may be disrupted, bringing new variables to the crypto market.

Despite the many uncertainties that still lie ahead, the latest predictions from the Federal Reserve have undoubtedly injected a dose of confidence into the market. The report outlines a soft landing for the economy, a decline in inflation, and a trend towards looser monetary policy, providing important references for investors and policymakers. However, we still need to closely monitor changes in the global economic situation and the extent to which these predictions materialize in reality.