#9.17策略推荐#

1. Market Review/Analysis and Robot Strategy Selection:

In less than 9 hours, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and press conference will arrive, which is the most critical event that will determine the direction of the global market for the foreseeable future, without exception.
The market has almost fully priced in a rate cut in September, with focus on three aspects:

Interest rate decision: a cut of 25 basis points or 50 basis points? In line with expectations or exceeding expectations?

Dot matrix: What guidance do we have for the interest rate cut path this year and beyond?

Powell's speech: Is the tone "dovish" (suggesting continued rate cuts) or "hawkish" (emphasizing data dependence and caution)?

Currently, the market's technical aspect is characterized by decreased volume, fluctuations, and convergence, which is a typical "stagnation" state before significant events. On the daily level, the trend remains bullish, but momentum is slowing down. After the MACD golden cross, the contraction and decreasing volume indicate that buying strength at the current position is somewhat hesitant, and the market is waiting for a new catalyst to determine whether to continue climbing or undergo a deep correction.

In the short term, the market is highly dependent on the Federal Reserve's decision, and it is expected to maintain narrow fluctuations before the decision, with the range of volatility narrowing.
In a bullish scenario, a 50 basis point rate cut (above expectations) or a press conference releasing more dovish signals would be a huge boost for the market. BTC will surge upward, directly targeting the previous high of $124,000, and may even embark on a new journey towards $130,000.

Bearish scenario, with only a 25 basis point rate cut and Powell's cautious stance, this will constitute a "buy the expectation, sell the fact" bearish realization. BTC is likely to experience a significant pullback, testing the support strength in the $113,500 - $115,000 range. If it breaks below, it may test $110,000.

ETH is currently weakly following BTC's fluctuations, making it difficult to have an independent market. The Bollinger Bands on the daily level are narrowing and flattening, and the MACD has formed a golden cross but is now converging. Continuous shrinking volume with small bearish candles indicates a lack of active buying funds, and the rebound lacks strength, requiring a strong push from the overall market to escape the mire; on the 4-hour level, bears are dominant, the MACD has crossed below the zero axis, and the Bollinger Bands are clearly narrowing downwards, indicating that its short-term trend leans towards bearish. The current rebound is merely a technical pullback after being oversold.

The short-term market also looks at the Federal Reserve's statement at 2 AM tomorrow, with resistance levels at $4650 and $4720, and support levels at $4400 and $4280.

The market is currently on the eve of a significant directional choice, with volatility compressed to the extreme. All technical indicators are temporarily yielding to the fundamentals. Tomorrow at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech will not be an ordinary fluctuation, but a "ruling" that will determine the trends for the coming weeks or even months. Please fasten your seatbelt, protect your principal, and wait for the storm to pass before setting sail.

The strategy suitable for the current market is: BTC spot Martingale + ETH spot grid.

2. Robot Combat Strategy Reference

Strategy Recommendation 1: Sideways but slightly bullish, you can lay out a BTCUSDT spot Martingale.
How much to increase the position when it drops: 1.5%;
Maximum increase in position: 6;
Profit-taking ratio per round: 2%;

Strategy Recommendation 2: Still waiting for direction in a range-bound oscillation, you can set up an ETH/USDT spot grid.

Price range: $4250 - $4780;
Number of grids: 50
Expected strategy execution time: September 17 - September 19;

Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You can read more information to make reasonable investment decisions.

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