Prediction Market

According to Polymarket's official statement, the prediction market platform has denied recent allegations that it suffered a data breach, saying the information being circulated involves public API endpoints and on-chain blockchain data. A hacker using the pseudonym "xorcat" claimed to have

According to BlockBeats, multiple major institutions on April 29 previewed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference scheduled for April 30, warning of potential hawkish risks. Most institutions expect the Fed to maintain a cautious stance amid improving labor markets and persistent inflation press

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring of Polymarket's UEFA Champions League winner prediction market, Paris Saint-Germain's odds to win rose to 32% on April 29, matching Bayern Munich, with a 24-hour gain of 6%. Bayern Munich's odds fell 5%

According to CoinDesk, Hyperliquid recently launched outcome tokens for prediction markets, introducing a zero opening fee model to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi. The platform charges fees only on closing or settlement transactions across minting, trading, burning, and settlement scenarios. The

According to official data, on April 29, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked fourth on the Polymarket Builder leaderboard with approximately $36.12 million in monthly trading volume. Launched in early April, XBIT achieved significant growth within weeks and has passed official Polymarket

Prediction market volume climbed to $25.7 billion in March, a 10.6% jump from February, with most users trading under $10,000, according to a report from Bitget Wallet produced in collaboration with Polymarket. The report tracked 1.29 million wallets in the first quarter and found that retail activi

Gate News message, April 29 — Kalshi has launched a music streaming weekly play prediction market, allowing users to trade on the up or down movement of Spotify weekly play counts for artists including Drake, Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber, and Bad Bunny. Users can now speculate on the weekly streamin

According to market news, the first prediction market ETF is expected to take effect on May 5. Roundhill has submitted an application, with a focus on Democrats/Republicans competing in U.S. presidential, Senate, and House elections. The ETF price reflects the probability of an event occurring and fluctuates with polls and news. Experts believe it could increase market liquidity, but it still faces regulatory disputes between the CFTC and state authorities, as well as legal challenges related to areas such as sports events.

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

Polymarket, one of the largest prediction markets in operation, has reportedly approached the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to lift a four-year ban on American users of its main on-chain exchange, according to Bloomberg. With four of five CFTC commissioner seats vacant, Chair Mich

According to a report by Decrypt, U.S. Army senior enlisted leader Gannon Ken Van Dyke on April 29 in federal court in New York pleaded not guilty to charges that he used confidential information to profit on the prediction market Polymarket. He was released on $250k bail and was ordered to surrender his passport and limit his travel; prosecutors said this is the first time the federal government has brought a lawsuit related to prediction market activity.

According to posts on dark web forums, Polymarket denied allegations that a hacker stole over 300,000 customer records and 10,000 user profiles. The platform stated that the data referenced by the attacker was already publicly accessible through its open APIs and on-chain blockchain records, not the

According to an X post by Polymarket on April 29, the cybersecurity account Dark Web Informer claimed that the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket was hacked, with more than 300k records and an exploit tool kit leaked to online criminal forums; Polymarket immediately denied this on X, saying that all on-chain data is publicly available and can be audited.

Polymarket completes the CLOB v2 exchange upgrade, with an announcement at 4/28 12:06. On the same day, maintenance was started at 11:02, trading was paused, and the order book was cleared; after about 64 minutes, order intake resumed and trading was reopened. The upgrade released a $1,000,000 liquidity reward: $500,000 for the first 2 hours, and the remaining $500,000 for the rest of the session. The core is a complete exchange overhaul—rebuilding the trading engine and contracts, and converting collateral assets to pUSD. Next, we will observe whether pUSD becomes the default collateral and how it is retained by market makers.

Gate News message, April 29 — Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $89.68 million yesterday (April 28), with BlackRock's IBIT leading losses at $112 million. Ethereum spot ETFs saw net outflows of $21.8 million, with BlackRock's ETHA accounting for $13.17 million of the decline. Meanwhile, Mi

Gate News message, April 29 — Roundhill's prediction market ETF is expected to launch next week (May 5), according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart. The firm has submitted its application, with an effective date set for May 5. The inaugural prediction market ETF will track outcomes of U.S. c

Gate News message, April 29 — Decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket appears to have suffered a data breach, with threat actor xorcat releasing over 300,000 data records and accompanying exploit tools on a known cybercriminal forum. According to reports, attackers exploited undisclosed

According to a report by The Block, on April 28 the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a lawsuit with the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Wisconsin, making it the fifth state in the past month that the CFTC has sued over issues of jurisdiction over prediction markets. The CFTC’s complaint argues that it has “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets, saying Wisconsin is trying to label markets subject to federal oversight as criminal, undermining the federal regulatory system designed by Congress.

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its soft trading posture, with it temporarily trading around $76,250 as of April 29. A Bloomberg ETF analyst posted that the market is expected to roll out the ETF next week. According to PeckShield monitoring, a suspected Trading Protocol YieldCore-3rd-deal treasury was attacked, resulting in losses of about $398k.

Gate News message, April 29 — On Polymarket's prediction market for NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 5 between the Knicks and Hawks, an account with a 35% win rate (0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3) purchased approximately $70,000 in contracts betting on a Knicks victory. The accoun