Bitcoin's cyclical trend emerges: it may rise to $200,000 by 2025. Analysts interpret the rise pattern.

On June 18, 【Blockchain Rhythm】, analysts released a market analysis indicating that on-chain analysis using MVRV, UTXO value bands, trading platform reserves, and other indicators interprets blockchain data from both micro and macro perspectives. These tools help us understand on-chain dynamics and guide informed decision-making. However, this method of constantly searching for micro signals to infer macro trends, while often useful, can sometimes obscure the cyclical forces that truly drive Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior.

The “Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend” corrects this problem by showing Bitcoin’s annual performance since 2011, revealing a regular cycle: three years of growth followed by a year of consolidation, coinciding with Bitcoin’s quadrennial halving rhythm. The importance of this growth cycle lies in the fact that, according to this indicator, Bitcoin could grow by about 120% in 2025 if it maintains the typical pace for the third year of the cycle. Starting at $93,226 has prompted the price to reach $205,097, which could be the top of the cycle this year. If this logic holds, 2025 is likely to close with a third consecutive bullish year, completing another positive cycle. This marks us at the end of the current cycle and is strategically important for investors looking to align with Bitcoin’s multi-year structure. This behavior is also supported by other cyclical metrics such as Realized Cap, which continues to hit all-time highs in 2025. Using the long-term perspective of the “Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend” to help investors stay calm during short-term volatility.