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National Association for Business Economics: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and is projected to lower rates by another 50 basis points next year.
Odaily News The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) stated in its annual forecast survey that the U.S. economic growth rate will slightly accelerate next year, but job growth will remain weak, and the Fed will slow the pace of further interest rate cuts. This survey covers 42 professional forecasters, and the results show that the median economic forecast is a rise of 2%, up from 1.8% in the October survey. Increased personal spending and business investment are expected to drive economic growth higher, but professional forecasters almost unanimously believe that the new import tariffs from the Trump administration will drag the growth rate down by at least 0.25 percentage points. The survey report states, "Respondents believe that 'tariff impacts' are the biggest downside risk to the U.S. economic outlook." Stricter immigration enforcement is also seen as a factor suppressing economic growth, while improvements in productivity are considered the most likely factor driving economic growth above expectations. Additionally, inflation is expected to be 2.9% by the end of this year.
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