AMA on X

$DOGE chart still looks bullish on HTF we just got the first of many rate cuts today the first Dogecoin ETF goes live in the US tomorrow DATs are positioned to continue to aggressively buy DOGE i remain bullish on DOGE

Recently, the Fed announced a rate cut decision, triggering fluctuations in the crypto assets market. Before the rate cut news was released, the price of Bitcoin experienced a fall, mainly due to precautionary measures taken by market participants to avoid risks. However, after the rate cut was implemented, the price of Bitcoin rebounded. The reason for this phenomenon lies in the fact that the expectations of the Fed officials exceeded market expectations. Nine officials believe that there will be a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points this year, equivalent to three rate cuts of 25 basis points each. This is more aggressive than the market's original expectation of two rate cuts, increasing the likelihood of rate cuts in October and December, which is undoubtedly a better-than-expected piece of news. However, this decision also brings a potential negative factor: there may not be any interest rate cuts next year. This essentially moves a planned rate cut from next year to this year, changing the pattern from "two cuts this year + one next year" to "three cuts this year + zero next year." In the face of the inconsistency between market expectations and actual conditions, investors need to remain calm and carefully analyze market trends. Recently, the price trends of major crypto assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana have aligned with previous predictions. Bitcoin once reached a high of $117,286, close to the predicted extreme resistance level of $117,429. Solana is nearing the extreme resistance level of $245.71, while Ethereum has also broken through the expected range of $4,600-$4,617.68. Although these Crypto Assets have reached the expected Rebound targets, market participants are still closely watching whether they will continue to rise. In this uncertain market environment, it is particularly important to keep an eye on market dynamics and maintain rational analysis.

On September 17, 2025, the Federal Reserve held a two-day monetary policy meeting and announced after the meeting a reduction of the federal funds interest rate target range by 25 basis points, with the new range being 4.00% to 4.25%. This is another rate cut by the Fed following three rate cuts in 2024, and it is the first rate cut of 2025. Although this interest rate cut decision was approved, it did not receive unanimous support from all voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Notably, new Fed governor Stephen Milan disagreed with this interest rate cut, advocating for a larger reduction of 50 basis points. The latest dot plot released by the Fed indicates that officials have adjusted their expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025. The current median expectation is that there will be two rate cuts in 2025, each by 25 basis points, which is one more than the June forecast. However, this does not mean that the rate cut path for the next few years is set in stone. According to current expectations from officials, there may be one 25 basis point rate cut in both 2026 and 2027. At the subsequent press conference, Fed Chairman Powell provided an explanation for the decision to cut interest rates. He pointed out that the vitality of the U.S. labor market is weakening, and there are downside risks to employment. This rate cut can be seen as a risk management measure, but he also emphasized that there is currently no need for a rapid adjustment of the interest rate. Powell's speech somewhat calmed market sentiment, resulting in a relatively stable response from the financial markets. This interest rate cut decision reflects the Fed's cautious attitude towards the economic outlook. Although inflationary pressures have eased, the uncertainty in the job market has prompted the Fed to take a relatively mild adjustment to its monetary policy. The future direction of the Fed's policies will continue to depend on changes in economic data, especially the performance of the job market and inflation indicators.

Yesterday, my operation with ASP might have been a bit hasty, as I sold everything around 20. Today, seeing that it still maintains strong momentum, I realize that this rise trend may continue for a while. Nevertheless, I also understand that there are many market opportunities, and being overly attached to a single project might lead to missing out on other good chances. The recent small profits from ASP have increased my confidence in my judgment and made me more patient. I firmly believe that patience will eventually pay off, and it is especially important to stick to my analytical judgment. Regarding the Forest project, there have been some pullbacks. I was optimistic about this project early on, but unfortunately, not many people paid attention at that time. I personally do not hold much; I previously held 8,000 tokens and made a small profit when I exited, and now I still have 10,000 staked. Analyzing the investment logic of Forest: First, it has gained exclusive TGE IDO support from BN, indicating a high level of recognition from BN. Second, the team background also looks quite good. Furthermore, with a currently low market value, it is worth paying attention to whether this gaming project can revitalize the BSC ecosystem in a bullish market. The design of the Forest ecosystem is very unique, and all profits will be used to repurchase Forest tokens. The key is how high it can reach? This is an investment opportunity that combines risks and opportunities. It is said that Forest will launch in October, and it is worth looking forward to how the market will react then. Can the success of the Pump and Form projects carry over to Forest? My analysis suggests that reaching a circulating market value of 10 million for Forest should not be a problem. As an innovative application, the best entry point may have been missed by the time everyone is widely discussing it. Investment requires foresight and careful judgment, so it might be wise to stay informed and make a timely layout.

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown an interesting phenomenon: the prices of some alts have been continuously rising, and the common point behind this is that the project party has started to implement substantial buyback plans. Taking HYPE and PUMP as examples, the prices of these two tokens have repeatedly hit new highs, thanks to the active buyback by the project party. In response, WLFI also announced a similar buyback plan. However, WLFI's buyback funds mainly rely on future stablecoin earnings. Considering the limited nature of current stablecoin earnings, there are still doubts about whether this strategy can support its market value growth in the long term. In the current market environment, traditional concept hype is no longer able to attract investors. Investors are more concerned about whether the project can bring actual benefits to token holders. Merely painting a beautiful vision is not enough to impress the market; projects that truly fulfill their commitments through buybacks are more favored. Currently, the projects that have started implementing buybacks include HYPE, PUMP, ENA, ETHFI, JTO, and SKY. At the same time, projects such as SYRUP and LDO are also actively discussing buyback plans. This trend indicates that, in the current market environment, agreements with actual buyback actions may be more worthy of investors' attention. This phenomenon reflects the increasing maturity of the encryption market. Investors are no longer satisfied with empty promises but are more focused on the actual actions of the project party and the protection of the interests of token holders. In the future, similar buyback strategies may become an important means for more projects to attract investors. However, when investors pay attention to these buyback plans, they also need to cautiously assess the long-term development prospects of the project party and the source of the buyback funds. After all, sustainable value creation is the key to the long-term success of the project.