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Looking at the Polymarket Trump China visit prediction event, it appears the secrecy around the visit was maintained fairly well, at least there were no addresses with suspiciously large profits.
Over 13,000 Polymarket addresses participated in Trump China visit timing predictions, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $10 million.
- 10 addresses had PnL profits exceeding $10,000, with combined gains of $161,000; the biggest winner was WarriorPooh with a profit of $29,300
- Meanwhile, 8 addresses had PnL losses exceeding $10,000, with combined losses of $206,000; the biggest loser was minisobaby with a loss of $62,000, completely wiping out all historical profits
- From the distribution perspective, profitable addresses were not rare—50% of addresses profited between $0-100, with an average profit of $9.53 and combined profits of $62,500