War Won't Interrupt the Long Bull, Short Bear Trend of US Stocks
Give yourself and everyone a psychological massage:
Based on US stock data from 1940-2026, US stock performance after major geopolitical shock events:
1 month: Average -0.9%, Median -0.2%, Probability of gains 46%
3 months: Average +0.8%, Median +2.7%, Probability of gains 66%
6 months: Average +3.4%, Median +5.3%, Probability of gains 61%
1 year: Average +3.0%, Median +7.4%, Probability of gains 65%
The comparison reveals that geopolitical risks (wars/assassinations/terrorist attacks/conflicts escalation) such as the Cuban Missi
查看原文