$ETH Signal】Rebound to the upside, clear suppression


$ETH 1H level MACD histogram turns positive, but the price is firmly suppressed by the 4H lower Bollinger Band and the 1H moving average cluster.
Order book depth imbalance -43%, sell orders far exceed buy orders, active selling pressure persists.
1-hour trading volume shrank to extremely low levels, the rebound lacks follow-through funds.

Price is stuck at 2282, both bulls and bears are watching at this level.
The 4-hour MACD double lines are still below zero, the long-term bearish pattern remains unchanged.
Any rebound to the EMA20 (2296) on the 1-hour chart is an opportunity for bears to add positions.
The 4H lower Bollinger Band at 2250 has been tested once; a second test’s support strength is questionable.

🎯Direction: Rebound to short

⚡Entry: Short position around 2317.61

🛑Stop Loss: 2336.15

🚀Target 1: 2280.53

🚀Target 2: 2261.99

🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution strategy: If the price directly falls below 2270, consider adding to short positions, with stop loss above the entry point.
- After reaching Target 1, halve the position, and trail the remaining position with a breakeven stop to aim for Target 2.

Negative funding rate of -0.0056% indicates a slightly bearish contract market, but the absolute value is small, not an extreme short squeeze signal.
Open interest remains stable, no signs of panic liquidation, more like an orderly decline.
The 1-hour RSI is at 38, in a weak zone but not oversold, leaving room for further downside.
Current risk-reward ratio is close to 2, making this trade’s risk profile acceptable.

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