Did Trump blow up oil prices and accidentally send Bitcoin soaring too?

Staring at the K-line, scrolling through Trump's Truth Social, I was repeatedly shocked into cardiac arrest by this US-Iran drama.

First, the result: I recovered my losses, but I’m even more panicked.

Monday at 8 p.m. Eastern Time was Trump’s final ultimatum to Iran.

Guess what?

Trump said, “Our negotiations with Iran are going quite smoothly.”

???

No, bro, you said 48 hours ago that you were going to bomb them, and now you say things are going well? Your emotional turn is even sharper than a meme coin’s K-line.

In one night, from World War III to a peace framework

What happened in the crypto world?

BTC jumped from 66K with a big bullish candle straight up to 69K.

A sudden surge of $3,000 overnight.

Why? Because Witkoff (Trump’s special envoy) threw out a 15-point peace framework: Iran shouldn’t pursue nuclear weapons, missiles shouldn’t go too far… and so on.

Iran claims they’re not afraid of threats, but behind the scenes, they’ve already made five counter-conditions through intermediaries.

Get it now?

Two big players, one holding a gun to the other's head, while secretly passing notes under the table: “Bro, enough already, name your price.”

This is top-tier geopolitical gameplay. And us small retail investors? We’re scared shitless, losing our pants.

The biggest illusion in the crypto world is thinking Trump will be reasonable.

After 10 years of watching, I’ve discovered a truth:

Trump’s Twitter is the world’s biggest volatility generator. More powerful than any whale.

One tweet, and crude oil hits 113.

Another tweet, and BTC jumps from 66K to 69K.

You think he’s governing? He’s market-making.

You think you’re investing in the future? Actually, you’re just gambling in the geopolitical casino.

Yesterday, you cut your losses out of fear of war; today, you chase the highs because of peace.

Two swings, no gains left, and you’re still emo.

Bahrain calls for UN-authorized force—that’s the real black swan.

You’re all watching Trump and Iran, but no one notices what Bahrain said?

Bahrain’s foreign minister said at the UN: “We need a resolution authorizing the international community to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force.”

Got it? This isn’t just about the US and Iran anymore. It’s the entire Gulf states losing patience, trying to drag the whole world into it.

The Strait of Hormuz accounts for 20% of the world’s oil. If Iran squeezes it, it’s like choking the global economy.

Bahrain says they’ll force open the strait—that means: Iran, if you don’t open it, we’ll kick down the door.

And what happens if they kick down the door? Iran’s missiles aren’t just for show.

By then, $200 oil isn’t a dream, and BTC? You think it’s a safe haven? Don’t be naive. When liquidity crises hit, all assets become trash—only bullets and canned food are hard currencies.

So, what now?

I won’t talk about technical analysis, support levels, or resistance.

Just three big truths:

1. Deep negotiations by Trump ≠ peace. That’s just a delaying tactic, a negotiation leverage. He says things are smooth, but the warships haven’t left. Don’t mistake a temporary rebound for a reversal.

2. $113 oil is the bottom, not the ceiling. As long as the Strait of Hormuz isn’t fully secure, the war premium on oil won’t disappear. High oil prices = high inflation = Fed can’t cut rates = no money flowing into crypto.

3. Don’t go all-in, and don’t hold zero. At this stage, betting on the direction is a death sentence. Hold spot, avoid futures, remove leverage. Keep half sober, half bullets.

I know you’re anxious.

I know you’re hurting after selling at 66K, and now at 69K, it’s killing you.

I also know you’re afraid of chasing the high, only for Trump to tweet again and wipe you out.

But that’s crypto.

You think you’re trading coins, but actually, you’re trading Trump’s mood.

You think you’re reading K-lines, but really, you’re watching a trailer for World War III.

> In front of a lunatic, technical analysis is trash.

> The only thing that can save you is your own position management.

Will Trump tweet again tonight?

I don’t know.

But I’ve already closed all my futures, kept 50% in spot, and swapped the other 50% into USDT in my wallet.

It’s not about losing money; it’s about not waking up in the middle of the night with no chips to buy the dip.

Let’s stay strong together.

— An old trader who’s been double-POA’d by Trump and K-lines for 10 years #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 $BTC