Brothers, Brother Rao is here.

Recently, the market has once again taught everyone a lesson: the US-Iran conflict flares up repeatedly, oil prices soar, and the SEC and CFTC's regulatory coordination just brought a glimmer of warmth. Bitcoin quickly turned and broke below 66,000, causing nearly 120,000 liquidations overnight. The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 13, and the market is crying out in despair.
Many people ask me, how to survive in this kind of market? The answer lies in the three defensive lines I keep emphasizing. This is not just motivational talk; it’s discipline earned through blood and tears.
First Defensive Line: Positioning Strategy — Keeping the fire alive in chaotic times.
When macro black swan events happen frequently, going all-in is suicide. Our funds are always divided into three parts:
Liquidity Position (30%): Only trade the most certain intraday swings, take profits and exit quickly, never get attached. Like these days, when geopolitical news hits, gold, oil, and cryptocurrencies move in sync. Fast entries and exits allow us to capture volatility dividends while controlling risk.
Trend Position (40%): Be patient, only ambush key levels. Check on-chain data—despite market panic, the number of whale wallets holding over 1000 LINK hits a 16-week high. Institutions are quietly accumulating through ETFs. What does this mean? Smart money is using panic to position for the future. Our trend position waits for these “market mistakes” to happen.
Ballast (30%): This is your lifeline. Never use it unless it’s zeroed out. It keeps you calm during the market’s most fearful moments, preventing you from selling at the bottom.
Second Defensive Line: Hunting Strategy — Abandon 90% of the trash time, strike hard during the 10%.
80% of crypto market time is chaotic oscillation; frequent trading is just giving money to exchanges. Our rule is: don’t shoot the arrow until you see the rabbit.
No volume breakout? Ignore it. For example, recently some institutional blockchain tokens have extremely low trading volume. Avoid these liquidity traps at all costs.
No trend formation? Stay still. But when a trend emerges, like RWA (Real World Assets) and AI sectors, which show structural strength amid broad declines, that’s the “fish” we need to focus on. The total market cap of tokenized assets surpassing $13 billion is a clear trend signal.
Take profits exceeding 15% immediately and withdraw the principal. Let profits run, but bring the principal back safely. This is the core of sustainable “blood-making” in a bear market.
Third Defensive Line: Mind Control Strategy — Use rules to beat human nature.
Retail investors’ biggest enemy is themselves. Making more when they profit, trying to recover when they lose. You must establish “robot discipline”:
Stop-loss red line: Never lose more than 2% of total funds on a single trade. Cut losses when wrong, no hesitation. Look at those liquidations—weren’t they caused by small losses turning into big ones?
Take-profit rule: Unconditionally reduce positions at target levels, don’t expect to sell at the highest point. No one can take all profits.
No adding to losing positions: Never add to a losing position. That’s not lowering the average cost; it’s giving errors “more life,” speeding up destruction.
What’s the current market outlook?
Macroscopically, geopolitical conflicts and inflation fears suppress risk assets. But on the other hand, the US regulatory framework is becoming clearer, stablecoins are even being given a “quasi-cash” status, and traditional institutions like BNP Paribas and Walmart are accelerating their entry. This intertwined scene of ice and fire is the perfect stage for hunting strategies—abandon short-term news chasing and focus on long-term trends supported by real funds and narratives, such as tokenization, RWA, and AI.
My actual holdings have gone from $1,350 to today’s level. The core isn’t about perfect predictions but about sticking to these three defensive lines regardless of market conditions. The market is always changing, but human nature and rules remain the same. When others are fearful, having discipline allows you to survive—and even thrive.
Follow Brother Rao. No hype, no pie-in-the-sky promises, just sharing real experience to help you survive in the market. The team still has spots—your choice to join or not. #BTC能否守住6.5万美元？ #TRUMP团队疑似抛售1606万美元代币 $ETH