#95%山寨幣跌破長期均線

Regarding the current market phenomenon where 95% of altcoins have fallen below long-term moving averages (such as the 200-day moving average):
Structural liquidity shortage: In early 2026, market funds are highly concentrated in Bitcoin. Due to volatility in the US stock market and increased institutional participation in Spot Bitcoin ETFs, capital has not flowed into altcoins on a large scale as in previous cycles, leading many projects to break below long-term trend lines due to lack of buying support.
Technical indicator failure and shakeouts: The Altcoin Season Index remains in a long-term slump (around the 25-31 range), indicating that classic indicators are gradually losing accuracy in a highly specialized market. Falling below moving averages reflects a collapse in retail investor confidence and a decline in risk premiums, which is often a sign of deep shakeouts and a process of淘汰弱留強 (eliminating the weak to retain the strong).
Potential accumulation signals: Despite the bearish trend, some analysts point out that the RSI of the OTHERS index is approaching historical lows, suggesting the market may be nearing the end of a "despair phase." For long-term investors, this could be an accumulation opportunity to seek oversold rebounds in mainstream altcoins.
Current operations should prioritize and focus on leading assets with strong fundamentals, avoiding blindly bottom-fishing weak coins with low liquidity. $BTC $SOL $GT